TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13028641
Played Aug 27Finished
Jan Srnka
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111181161012116
Bohuslav Budik
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:09 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeBohuslav Budik to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
6111181161012116
H2H Jan Srnka 0–2 Bohuslav Budik Jan Srnka has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:09What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (52%)
Budik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Srnka 1624 vs Budik 1538
Srnka
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Srnka 60% vs Budik 80%
Budik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Srnka 60% vs Budik 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Srnka -1 · Budik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Srnka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSrnka 1.91 / Budik 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Srnka)+6.5pp
TT Cup · #13028641
Srnka1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog57% won 34 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back31% 8 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Budik1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 33 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it65% 20 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSrnka0wins
AwayBudik2wins
Budik leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSrnkaBudikS − BBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match29.537.5−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrnkaBudikBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 136 vs 212 / 48956.6%43.4%77 / 136 vs 212 / 489Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrnkaSrnka 1.91/Budik 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Srnka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Srnka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 24 · 11:55J. Srnka—117641B. Budik—51111113
LJun 16 · 07:50J. Srnka—115961B. Budik—41111113
J. Srnka10
LSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131WSep 2 · 08:55T. Rein2.63151311662J. Srnka1.441711611113LSep 2 · 08:25B. Budik1.772012113J. Srnka1.93181060WSep 2 · 07:25J. Srnka1.6711118113S. Holik2.10951161WAug 27 · 13:38J. Srnka1.53914911113J. Sebl2.38111211492LAug 27 · 12:20J. Sebl2.258111111113J. Srnka1.5711138882LAug 27 · 11:50L. Moravec1.83111189113J. Srnka1.8389111192LAug 24 · 14:03J. Srnka1.50115881M. Filipek2.5091111113WAug 24 · 13:25J. Srnka1.53211111113M. Filipek2.38234781LAug 24 · 11:55B. Budik1.9551111113J. Srnka1.74117641
B. Budik10
WSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890LSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113LSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131WSep 6 · 06:50T. Hnizdil1.5791461182B. Budik2.251112118113WSep 5 · 10:50B. Budik2.009111011113T. Hnizdil1.7211512672LSep 5 · 09:25T. Hnizdil1.571111911113B. Budik2.2591311872WSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690WSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131WSep 2 · 08:25B. Budik1.772012113J. Srnka1.93181060WAug 24 · 11:55B. Budik1.9551111113J. Srnka1.74117641
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