Jan Srnka vs Jachym Sebl 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13030279

Played Aug 27Finished

Jan Srnka

Home

1.53

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

9111412911114119

Jachym Sebl

Away

2.38

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingJan Srnka above · Jachym Sebl below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 14-12

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-4

Set 5 · 11-9

Point 101 set 5, 11-9

101 points played in total.

H2H Jan Srnka 12–7 Jachym Sebl Jachym Sebl has won 7 of their 19 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Srnka)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sebl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSrnka 1.53 / Sebl 2.38

Signal prob.62% / 38%

Edge (Srnka)+1.2pp

TT Cup · #13030279

Srnka1.53

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite61% won 31 of 51

Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18

Up 1–0, closes it74% 23 of 31

Sebl2.38

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog41% won 67 of 164

Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 86

Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 60

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSrnka7wins

AwaySebl3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSrnka leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSrnka66.7%4 of 6

AwaySebl25%1 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Srnka6Sebl4n = 10Srnka took 6 of 10

S2Srnka8Sebl2n = 10Srnka took 8 of 10

S3Srnka8Sebl2n = 10Srnka took 8 of 10

S4Srnka3Sebl4n = 7Sebl took 4 of 7

S5Srnka1Sebl2n = 3Sebl took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricSrnkaSeblSrnka − SeblBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.132.3+6.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSrnkaSeblBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 139 vs 302 / 64556.1%46.8%78 / 139 vs 302 / 645Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.435.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Srnka

Srnka 1.53/Sebl 2.38

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

62%

Srnka · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Srnka won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WJul 30 · 12:20J. Srnka—1111113J. Sebl—6460

WJul 14 · 06:55J. Srnka—1111113J. Sebl—4460

LJul 8 · 08:25J. Srnka—13811792J. Sebl—1111811113

WJul 1 · 12:55J. Srnka—51111113J. Sebl—117991

WJun 25 · 07:55J. Srnka—11116113J. Sebl—521161

WJun 22 · 13:50J. Srnka—91111113J. Sebl—113671

LJun 22 · 10:50J. Srnka—111461J. Sebl—81111113

LJun 16 · 12:20J. Srnka—61611982J. Sebl—1114611113

WJun 8 · 13:50J. Srnka—813129113J. Sebl—1111101162

WJun 8 · 12:20J. Srnka—1111113J. Sebl—5330

J. Srnka10

LSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131 WSep 2 · 08:55T. Rein2.63151311662J. Srnka1.441711611113 LSep 2 · 08:25B. Budik1.772012113J. Srnka1.93181060 WSep 2 · 07:25J. Srnka1.6711118113S. Holik2.10951161 LAug 27 · 12:20J. Sebl2.258111111113J. Srnka1.5711138882 LAug 27 · 11:50L. Moravec1.83111189113J. Srnka1.8389111192 WAug 27 · 10:50J. Srnka1.916111110113B. Budik1.7311861262 LAug 24 · 14:03J. Srnka1.50115881M. Filipek2.5091111113 WAug 24 · 13:25J. Srnka1.53211111113M. Filipek2.38234781 LAug 24 · 11:55B. Budik1.9551111113J. Srnka1.74117641

J. Sebl10

WSep 6 · 14:35T. Hnizdil1.46911781J. Sebl2.5411911113 WSep 6 · 13:25J. Sebl1.5791111123L. Rek2.251174101 WSep 6 · 11:55A. Jr3.25912100J. Sebl1.331114123 LSep 6 · 11:25T. Hnizdil1.40118118113J. Sebl2.7581171112 WSep 5 · 14:02J. Sebl1.301111113L. Rek3.408890 WSep 5 · 12:55J. Sebl1.361111611143A. Jr3.00313112122 WSep 5 · 11:55J. Sebl1.73101111113L. Rek2.00125861 LSep 5 · 10:55J. Sebl2.7591011101J. Dohnal1.4011129123 WAug 31 · 10:35J. Sebl1.67118135113L. Rek2.10411111152 WAug 27 · 12:20J. Sebl2.258111111113J. Srnka1.5711138882

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