TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13001883
Played Aug 24Finished
Bohuslav Budik
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511117116114––
Jan Srnka
Away
1.74
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:20 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeJan Srnka to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
511117116114––
H2H Bohuslav Budik 1–0 Jan Srnka Jan Srnka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:20What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Srnka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Budik 1503 vs Srnka 1644
Srnka
Wrong
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budik 80% vs Srnka 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budik 70% vs Srnka 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Budik +1 · Srnka +3
Srnka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Srnka) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Srnka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudik 1.95 / Srnka 1.74
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Srnka)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13001883
Budik1.95
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 69 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back28% 24 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Srnka1.74
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 30 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it79% 23 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBudik1wins
AwaySrnka0wins
Budik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBudikSrnkaB − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match37.031.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudikSrnkaBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 490 vs 76 / 13343.3%57.1%212 / 490 vs 76 / 133Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrnkaBudik 1.95/Srnka 1.74
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Srnka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Budik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 16 · 07:50B. Budik—41111113J. Srnka—115961
B. Budik10
WSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890LSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113LSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131WSep 6 · 06:50T. Hnizdil1.5791461182B. Budik2.251112118113WSep 5 · 10:50B. Budik2.009111011113T. Hnizdil1.7211512672LSep 5 · 09:25T. Hnizdil1.571111911113B. Budik2.2591311872WSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690WSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113WSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131WSep 2 · 09:25S. Holik1.95511116102B. Budik1.77115811123
J. Srnka10
LSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131WSep 2 · 08:55T. Rein2.63151311662J. Srnka1.441711611113LSep 2 · 08:25B. Budik1.772012113J. Srnka1.93181060WSep 2 · 07:25J. Srnka1.6711118113S. Holik2.10951161WAug 27 · 13:38J. Srnka1.53914911113J. Sebl2.38111211492LAug 27 · 12:20J. Sebl2.258111111113J. Srnka1.5711138882LAug 27 · 11:50L. Moravec1.83111189113J. Srnka1.8389111192WAug 27 · 10:50J. Srnka1.916111110113B. Budik1.7311861262LAug 24 · 14:03J. Srnka1.50115881M. Filipek2.5091111113WAug 24 · 13:25J. Srnka1.53211111113M. Filipek2.38234781
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