TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13023880
Played Aug 27Finished
Ladislav Moravec
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118119811911119
Jan Srnka
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Srnka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLadislav Moravec above · Jan Srnka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 98 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jan Srnka at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Moravec 2–1 Jan Srnka Jan Srnka has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:53What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Srnka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1614 vs Srnka 1621
Srnka
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 60% vs Srnka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 80% vs Srnka 60%
Moravec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +1 · Srnka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Srnka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.83 / Srnka 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Srnka)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13023880
Moravec1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Srnka1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMoravec2wins
AwaySrnka1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMoravec leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec2Srnka1n = 3Moravec took 2 of 3
S2Moravec1Srnka2n = 3Srnka took 2 of 3
S3Moravec2Srnka1n = 3Moravec took 2 of 3
S4Moravec1Srnka2n = 3Srnka took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMoravecSrnkaM − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.740.0+1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecSrnkaBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 248 vs 78 / 13841.9%56.5%104 / 248 vs 78 / 138Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrnkaMoravec 1.83/Srnka 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Srnka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 27 · 11:50L. Moravec—111189113J. Srnka—89111192
LJul 30 · 13:48L. Moravec—10101161J. Srnka—12122113
WJul 30 · 11:50L. Moravec—11511113J. Srnka—911871
L. Moravec10
LSep 1 · 17:55L. Moravec1.8612812392A. Kral1.7810111011113WSep 1 · 16:50R. Jamrich2.63461191L. Moravec1.4411116113WSep 1 · 15:50L. Moravec2.38611911143A. Kral1.53117118122WSep 1 · 14:20F. Balcar1.838980L. Moravec1.831111113WAug 27 · 14:10L. Moravec1.5411511113B. Budik2.32711791WAug 27 · 12:50B. Budik2.6511139872L. Moravec1.438111111113WAug 27 · 10:20J. Sebl2.25461191L. Moravec1.5711119113LAug 25 · 18:30L. Moravec1.9097100J. Hendrych1.801111123WAug 25 · 17:25J. Dvorak1.61131050L. Moravec2.201512113WAug 25 · 16:25L. Moravec2.25117711113J. Hendrych1.5731111882
J. Srnka10
LSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131WSep 2 · 08:55T. Rein2.63151311662J. Srnka1.441711611113LSep 2 · 08:25B. Budik1.772012113J. Srnka1.93181060WSep 2 · 07:25J. Srnka1.6711118113S. Holik2.10951161WAug 27 · 13:38J. Srnka1.53914911113J. Sebl2.38111211492LAug 27 · 12:20J. Sebl2.258111111113J. Srnka1.5711138882WAug 27 · 10:50J. Srnka1.916111110113B. Budik1.7311861262LAug 24 · 14:03J. Srnka1.50115881M. Filipek2.5091111113WAug 24 · 13:25J. Srnka1.53211111113M. Filipek2.38234781LAug 24 · 11:55B. Budik1.9551111113J. Srnka1.74117641
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