TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13002703
Played Aug 24Finished
Jan Srnka
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511811811––
Martin Filipek
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJan Srnka above · Martin Filipek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11
74 points played in total.
H2H Jan Srnka 3–0 Martin Filipek Martin Filipek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Srnka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Srnka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSrnka 1.50 / Filipek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Srnka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13002703
Srnka1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 30 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it79% 23 of 29
Filipek2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 90 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back26% 26 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSrnka3wins
AwayFilipek0wins
Srnka leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Srnka1Filipek2n = 3Filipek took 2 of 3
S2Srnka3Filipek0n = 3Srnka took 3 of 3
S3Srnka3Filipek0n = 3Srnka took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSrnkaFilipekS − FBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match41.333.0+8.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrnkaFilipekBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 135 vs 252 / 57957%43.5%77 / 135 vs 252 / 579Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrnkaSrnka 1.50/Filipek 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Srnka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Filipek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 24 · 13:25J. Srnka—211111113M. Filipek—234781
WAug 14 · 11:25J. Srnka—41111113M. Filipek—118871
WAug 11 · 10:50J. Srnka—1111113M. Filipek—6980
J. Srnka10
LSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131WSep 2 · 08:55T. Rein2.63151311662J. Srnka1.441711611113LSep 2 · 08:25B. Budik1.772012113J. Srnka1.93181060WSep 2 · 07:25J. Srnka1.6711118113S. Holik2.10951161WAug 27 · 13:38J. Srnka1.53914911113J. Sebl2.38111211492LAug 27 · 12:20J. Sebl2.258111111113J. Srnka1.5711138882LAug 27 · 11:50L. Moravec1.83111189113J. Srnka1.8389111192WAug 27 · 10:50J. Srnka1.916111110113B. Budik1.7311861262WAug 24 · 13:25J. Srnka1.53211111113M. Filipek2.38234781LAug 24 · 11:55B. Budik1.9551111113J. Srnka1.74117641
M. Filipek10
LSep 7 · 07:55R. Muller1.91111311113M. Filipek1.80915471WSep 7 · 07:25D. Pasek1.83101211131M. Filipek1.8312146153WSep 5 · 18:35J. Dvorak1.538111011152M. Filipek2.38115129173WSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101LSep 5 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.4012118113M. Filipek2.751071171WSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113LSep 4 · 14:04P. Chlumsky1.44111110113M. Filipek2.63891251LSep 4 · 12:55P. Chlumsky1.5091511143M. Filipek2.5011139121LSep 4 · 12:25A. Kral2.0011111517113M. Filipek1.7348171962LAug 24 · 13:25J. Srnka1.53211111113M. Filipek2.38234781
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