TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073987
Played Sep 4Finished
Adam Kral
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11411815171719116
Martin Filipek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Filipek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAdam Kral above · Martin Filipek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 15-17
Set 4 · 17-19
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 119 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Martin Filipek at 54.0%
119 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kral 37–43 Martin Filipek Adam Kral has won 37 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Filipek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-43 in 80
Filipek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kral 1482 vs Filipek 1496
Filipek
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kral 40% vs Filipek 60%
Filipek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kral 60% vs Filipek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kral -2 · Filipek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Filipek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKral 2.00 / Filipek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Filipek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13073987
Kral2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 92 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back25% 26 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 58
Filipek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 56 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it78% 40 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKral3wins
AwayFilipek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFilipek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKral60%3 of 5
AwayFilipek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kral5Filipek5n = 10split evenly
S2Kral4Filipek6n = 10Filipek took 6 of 10
S3Kral2Filipek8n = 10Filipek took 8 of 10
S4Kral2Filipek4n = 6Filipek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKralFilipekK − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.938.5−3.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKralFilipekBasisWin rate · lifetime404 / 773 vs 256 / 58552.3%43.8%404 / 773 vs 256 / 585Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.639.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FilipekKral 2.00/Filipek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Filipek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kral won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 21:58A. Kral—811891M. Filipek—11911113
LSep 3 · 19:50A. Kral—101171192M. Filipek—129117113
LAug 15 · 08:25A. Kral—1148101M. Filipek—51111123
LAug 5 · 07:55A. Kral—56100M. Filipek—1111123
LAug 4 · 11:25A. Kral—5990M. Filipek—1111113
LJul 31 · 09:53A. Kral—1310871M. Filipek—111211113
LJul 31 · 07:25A. Kral—67100M. Filipek—1111123
WJul 30 · 14:04A. Kral—11711113M. Filipek—511691
WJul 30 · 13:25A. Kral—1111611143M. Filipek—881113122
WJul 13 · 07:55A. Kral—1112113M. Filipek—91060
A. Kral10
LSep 4 · 14:35F. Balcar2.25511117113A. Kral1.5711961152WSep 4 · 13:25F. Balcar2.50210111172A. Kral1.50111294113LSep 4 · 10:55P. Chlumsky1.80711117113A. Kral1.9111991192LSep 3 · 21:58M. Filipek1.7311911113A. Kral2.00811891WSep 3 · 20:50D. Pasek2.20147791A. Kral1.61121111113LSep 3 · 19:50A. Kral2.10101171192M. Filipek1.67129117113WSep 3 · 18:20J. Dohnal1.67711971A. Kral2.1011911113WSep 1 · 17:55L. Moravec1.8612812392A. Kral1.7810111011113WSep 1 · 16:20F. Balcar2.50811981A. Kral1.5011811113LSep 1 · 15:50L. Moravec2.38611911143A. Kral1.53117118122
M. Filipek10
LSep 7 · 07:55R. Muller1.91111311113M. Filipek1.80915471WSep 7 · 07:25D. Pasek1.83101211131M. Filipek1.8312146153WSep 5 · 18:35J. Dvorak1.538111011152M. Filipek2.38115129173WSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101LSep 5 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.4012118113M. Filipek2.751071171WSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113LSep 4 · 14:04P. Chlumsky1.44111110113M. Filipek2.63891251LSep 4 · 12:55P. Chlumsky1.5091511143M. Filipek2.5011139121WSep 3 · 21:58M. Filipek1.7311911113A. Kral2.00811891WSep 3 · 19:50A. Kral2.10101171192M. Filipek1.67129117113
Upcoming Matches
A. Kral
Nothing scheduled
M. Filipek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.