Jakub Dvorak vs Martin Filipek 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13083995

Played Sep 5Finished

Jakub Dvorak

Home

1.53

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

81111510121191517

Martin Filipek

Away

2.38

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingJakub Dvorak above · Martin Filipek below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 15-16

Point 108 set 5, 15-16

108 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.

H2H Jakub Dvorak 3–1 Martin Filipek Martin Filipek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.

Last 4 · 3–1Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Dvorak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Dvorak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDvorak 1.53 / Filipek 2.38

Signal prob.62% / 38%

Edge (Dvorak)+0.8pp

TT Cup · #13083995

Dvorak1.53

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite46% won 25 of 55

Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13

Up 1–0, closes it67% 18 of 27

Filipek2.38

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog44% won 86 of 197

Down 0–1, comes back28% 27 of 98

Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeDvorak3wins

AwayFilipek1wins

1 of 4 to a deciderDvorak leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDvorak100%3 of 3

AwayFilipekn = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dvorak3Filipek1n = 4Dvorak took 3 of 4

S2Dvorak4Filipek0n = 4Dvorak took 4 of 4

S3Dvorak2Filipek2n = 4split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home250%

3–1Four sets, home125%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away125%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 4 meetings

MetricDvorakFilipekD − FBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.531.2+8.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDvorakFilipekBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 345 vs 258 / 59148.7%43.7%168 / 345 vs 258 / 591Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.539.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Dvorak

Dvorak 1.53/Filipek 2.38

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

61.6%

Dvorak · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Filipek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record4

WSep 5 · 15:55J. Dvorak—12118113M. Filipek—1071171

LMay 8 · 18:30J. Dvorak—91371192M. Filipek—1111116113

WMay 8 · 15:25J. Dvorak—1211113M. Filipek—10550

WNov 16 · 09:50J. Dvorak—1111113M. Filipek—8390

J. Dvorak10

LSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671 LSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113 WSep 6 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.831111113J. Melichar1.837780 WSep 6 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.80118612123Z. Zahradka1.914111110102 LSep 5 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.839480D. Tichy1.831111113 WSep 5 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.4012118113M. Filipek2.751071171 WSep 5 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.83115118113Z. Zahradka1.8341171192 WAug 31 · 18:30J. Dvorak2.001111113J. Melichar1.732220 WAug 31 · 17:25J. Dvorak2.101111163J. Melichar1.6756140 WAug 31 · 15:55M. Dvorak1.73118315112J. Dvorak2.009111113133

M. Filipek10

WSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101 LSep 5 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.4012118113M. Filipek2.751071171 WSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113 LSep 4 · 14:04P. Chlumsky1.44111110113M. Filipek2.63891251 LSep 4 · 12:55P. Chlumsky1.5091511143M. Filipek2.5011139121 LSep 4 · 12:25A. Kral2.0011111517113M. Filipek1.7348171962 LSep 4 · 11:25M. Filipek1.8041161372F. Balcar1.911161111113 WSep 3 · 21:58M. Filipek1.7311911113A. Kral2.00811891 LSep 3 · 20:20J. Dohnal2.001612125153M. Filipek1.7314101411132 WSep 3 · 19:50A. Kral2.10101171192M. Filipek1.67129117113

Upcoming Matches

J. Dvorak

Nothing scheduled

M. Filipek

Sep 7 · 07:25M. Filipek1.83D. Pasek1.83—Sep 7 · 07:55M. Filipek1.83R. Muller1.83—Sep 7 · 09:25M. Filipek1.83F. Balcar1.83—

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