TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086949
Played Sep 6Finished
Jakub Dvorak
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811711––––
Robert Jamrich
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRobert Jamrich to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Dvorak above · Robert Jamrich below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Robert Jamrich at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Dvorak 2–3 Robert Jamrich Jakub Dvorak has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:39What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jamrich
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dvorak 1508 vs Jamrich 1402
Dvorak
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dvorak 60% vs Jamrich 40%
Dvorak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dvorak 80% vs Jamrich 20%
Dvorak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dvorak +2 · Jamrich +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dvorak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jamrich form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvorak 1.91 / Jamrich 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dvorak)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13086949
Dvorak1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog56% won 71 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back29% 16 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Jamrich1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite46% won 10 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it64% 7 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDvorak2wins
AwayJamrich3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderJamrich leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvorakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayJamrich75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvorak1Jamrich4n = 5Jamrich took 4 of 5
S2Dvorak3Jamrich2n = 5Dvorak took 3 of 5
S3Dvorak1Jamrich4n = 5Jamrich took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricDvorakJamrichD − JBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match31.833.6−1.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvorakJamrichBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 350 vs 133 / 29648.6%44.9%170 / 350 vs 133 / 296Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakDvorak 1.91/Jamrich 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jamrich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 6 · 18:34J. Dvorak—1011671R. Jamrich—12311113
LSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak—8870R. Jamrich—1111113
LAug 25 · 18:00J. Dvorak—5860R. Jamrich—1111113
WAug 25 · 15:55J. Dvorak—911711113R. Jamrich—11911972
WJul 28 · 15:55J. Dvorak—1111123R. Jamrich—44100
J. Dvorak10
LSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671WSep 6 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.831111113J. Melichar1.837780WSep 6 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.80118612123Z. Zahradka1.914111110102LSep 5 · 18:35J. Dvorak1.538111011152M. Filipek2.38115129173LSep 5 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.839480D. Tichy1.831111113WSep 5 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.4012118113M. Filipek2.751071171WSep 5 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.83115118113Z. Zahradka1.8341171192WAug 31 · 18:30J. Dvorak2.001111113J. Melichar1.732220WAug 31 · 17:25J. Dvorak2.101111163J. Melichar1.6756140WAug 31 · 15:55M. Dvorak1.73118315112J. Dvorak2.009111113133
R. Jamrich10
WSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671WSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 15:25R. Jamrich3.00118751J. Melichar1.3691111113WSep 4 · 18:00Z. Zahradka1.6111911592R. Jamrich2.20711811113LSep 4 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.0031080M. Dvorak1.731112113LSep 4 · 15:55R. Jamrich2.1054111172Z. Zahradka1.67111196113LSep 4 · 14:55R. Jamrich2.75128751J. Melichar1.40101111113LSep 1 · 17:25F. Balcar1.571111113R. Jamrich2.258770LSep 1 · 16:50R. Jamrich2.63461191L. Moravec1.4411116113LSep 1 · 15:20F. Balcar1.5771111113R. Jamrich2.25119781
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