TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076343
Played Sep 4Finished
Robert Jamrich
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210811711511––
Jiri Melichar
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched — 73.7% is still 73.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Melichar to win
73.7%
73.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRobert Jamrich above · Jiri Melichar below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 75 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jiri Melichar at 73.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Robert Jamrich 0–5 Jiri Melichar Robert Jamrich has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Melichar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Melichar
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jamrich 1340 vs Melichar 1467
Melichar
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jamrich 20% vs Melichar 40%
Melichar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jamrich 40% vs Melichar 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jamrich -4 · Melichar -2
Jamrich
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Melichar) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melichar form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJamrich 2.75 / Melichar 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Melichar)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13076343
Jamrich2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 28 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Melichar1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 16 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJamrich0wins
AwayMelichar5wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMelichar leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJamrichn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMelichar100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jamrich1Melichar4n = 5Melichar took 4 of 5
S2Jamrich2Melichar3n = 5Melichar took 3 of 5
S3Jamrich2Melichar3n = 5Melichar took 3 of 5
S4Jamrich0Melichar4n = 4Melichar took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricJamrichMelicharJ − MBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match30.440.2−9.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJamrichMelicharBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 292 vs 33 / 6044.5%55%130 / 292 vs 33 / 60Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelicharJamrich 2.75/Melichar 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Melichar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Melichar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 11 · 14:50R. Jamrich—11119452J. Melichar—671111113
LJul 28 · 18:00R. Jamrich—571151J. Melichar—11119113
LJul 28 · 17:25R. Jamrich—891141J. Melichar—11116113
LJan 1 · 15:10R. Jamrich—8260J. Melichar—1111113
LJan 1 · 12:25R. Jamrich—9111061J. Melichar—11712113
R. Jamrich10
WSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671WSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113WSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 15:25R. Jamrich3.00118751J. Melichar1.3691111113WSep 4 · 18:00Z. Zahradka1.6111911592R. Jamrich2.20711811113LSep 4 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.0031080M. Dvorak1.731112113LSep 4 · 15:55R. Jamrich2.1054111172Z. Zahradka1.67111196113LSep 1 · 17:25F. Balcar1.571111113R. Jamrich2.258770LSep 1 · 16:50R. Jamrich2.63461191L. Moravec1.4411116113LSep 1 · 15:20F. Balcar1.5771111113R. Jamrich2.25119781
J. Melichar10
LSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113WSep 6 · 17:25J. Melichar1.44117117113Z. Zahradka2.6381151192LSep 6 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.831111113J. Melichar1.837780WSep 6 · 15:25R. Jamrich3.00118751J. Melichar1.3691111113WSep 4 · 18:32J. Melichar1.871111113M. Dvorak1.839740WSep 4 · 17:25Z. Zahradka2.38571191J. Melichar1.5311119113WSep 4 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83612119113M. Dvorak1.83111091142LAug 31 · 18:30J. Dvorak2.001111113J. Melichar1.732220LAug 31 · 17:25J. Dvorak2.101111163J. Melichar1.6756140WAug 31 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83111110113J. Hendrych1.83571251
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