TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058476
Played Sep 1Finished
Frantisek Balcar
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711119117118––
Robert Jamrich
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:13 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Balcar to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Balcar above · Robert Jamrich below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Frantisek Balcar at 63.6%
75 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Balcar 1–0 Robert Jamrich Robert Jamrich has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Balcar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Balcar 1503 vs Jamrich 1379
Balcar
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Balcar 80% vs Jamrich 40%
Balcar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Balcar 70% vs Jamrich 40%
Balcar
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Balcar -1 · Jamrich -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Balcar) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Balcar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBalcar 1.57 / Jamrich 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Balcar)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13058476
Balcar1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 27 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it63% 15 of 24
Jamrich2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 28 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBalcar1wins
AwayJamrich0wins
Balcar leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBalcarJamrichB − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.018.0+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBalcarJamrichBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 224 vs 130 / 28946.9%45%105 / 224 vs 130 / 289Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BalcarBalcar 1.57/Jamrich 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Balcar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Balcar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 22 · 12:55F. Balcar—1111113R. Jamrich—5580
F. Balcar10
LSep 7 · 08:25F. Balcar1.579750D. Pasek2.251111113WSep 7 · 06:55R. Muller1.918121111142F. Balcar1.801110139163WSep 4 · 14:35F. Balcar2.25511117113A. Kral1.5711961152LSep 4 · 13:25F. Balcar2.50210111172A. Kral1.50111294113WSep 4 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.8391070F. Balcar1.831112113WSep 4 · 11:25M. Filipek1.8041161372F. Balcar1.911161111113WSep 1 · 17:25F. Balcar1.571111113R. Jamrich2.258770LSep 1 · 16:20F. Balcar2.50811981A. Kral1.5011811113LSep 1 · 14:20F. Balcar1.838980L. Moravec1.831111113WJul 22 · 14:45F. Balcar1.67112127113P. Chlumsky2.10511101172
R. Jamrich10
WSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671WSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113WSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 15:25R. Jamrich3.00118751J. Melichar1.3691111113WSep 4 · 18:00Z. Zahradka1.6111911592R. Jamrich2.20711811113LSep 4 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.0031080M. Dvorak1.731112113LSep 4 · 15:55R. Jamrich2.1054111172Z. Zahradka1.67111196113LSep 4 · 14:55R. Jamrich2.75128751J. Melichar1.40101111113LSep 1 · 17:25F. Balcar1.571111113R. Jamrich2.258770LSep 1 · 16:50R. Jamrich2.63461191L. Moravec1.4411116113
Upcoming Matches
F. Balcar
R. Jamrich
Nothing scheduled
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