TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076913
Played Sep 4Finished
Robert Jamrich
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511411119116711
Zdenek Zahradka
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:42 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Zahradka to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRobert Jamrich above · Zdenek Zahradka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 86 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Zdenek Zahradka at 57.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Robert Jamrich 8–9 Zdenek Zahradka Robert Jamrich has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:42What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zahradka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-9 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jamrich 1332 vs Zahradka 1393
Zahradka
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jamrich 0% vs Zahradka 20%
Zahradka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jamrich 30% vs Zahradka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jamrich -5 · Zahradka -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zahradka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJamrich 2.10 / Zahradka 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Zahradka)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13076913
Jamrich2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 28 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Zahradka1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 121 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it87% 52 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it72% 82 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJamrich4wins
AwayZahradka6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJamrich100%3 of 3
AwayZahradka85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jamrich3Zahradka7n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S2Jamrich5Zahradka5n = 10split evenly
S3Jamrich3Zahradka7n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S4Jamrich2Zahradka6n = 8Zahradka took 6 of 8
S5Jamrich3Zahradka0n = 3Jamrich took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJamrichZahradkaJ − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.338.2−2.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJamrichZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 289 vs 424 / 84244.6%50.4%129 / 289 vs 424 / 842Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaJamrich 2.10/Zahradka 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 16 · 14:25R. Jamrich—1110511123Z. Zahradka—712113102
WApr 16 · 12:25R. Jamrich—111263113Z. Zahradka—810111142
LApr 7 · 14:50R. Jamrich—611791Z. Zahradka—11511113
WJan 16 · 18:50R. Jamrich—11117113Z. Zahradka—481171
LJan 16 · 17:50R. Jamrich—12450Z. Zahradka—1411113
WJan 4 · 14:25R. Jamrich—7111114113Z. Zahradka—11521682
LNov 14 · 18:20R. Jamrich—611661Z. Zahradka—1161173
LNov 14 · 16:20R. Jamrich—391151Z. Zahradka—11117113
LNov 13 · 08:25R. Jamrich—91090Z. Zahradka—1112113
LOct 28 · 15:20R. Jamrich—541181Z. Zahradka—11117113
R. Jamrich10
WSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671WSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113WSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 15:25R. Jamrich3.00118751J. Melichar1.3691111113WSep 4 · 18:00Z. Zahradka1.6111911592R. Jamrich2.20711811113LSep 4 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.0031080M. Dvorak1.731112113LSep 4 · 14:55R. Jamrich2.75128751J. Melichar1.40101111113LSep 1 · 17:25F. Balcar1.571111113R. Jamrich2.258770LSep 1 · 16:50R. Jamrich2.63461191L. Moravec1.4411116113LSep 1 · 15:20F. Balcar1.5771111113R. Jamrich2.25119781
Z. Zahradka10
WSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113LSep 6 · 17:25J. Melichar1.44117117113Z. Zahradka2.6381151192LSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.80118612123Z. Zahradka1.914111110102LSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123LSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101WSep 5 · 16:25Z. Zahradka2.25111111113D. Tichy1.57913441LSep 5 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.83115118113Z. Zahradka1.8341171192LSep 4 · 18:00Z. Zahradka1.6111911592R. Jamrich2.20711811113LSep 4 · 17:25Z. Zahradka2.38571191J. Melichar1.5311119113
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