TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086638
Played Sep 6Finished
Jiri Melichar
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118711115711119
Zdenek Zahradka
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeJiri Melichar to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Melichar above · Zdenek Zahradka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 91 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jiri Melichar at 68.5%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Melichar 5–2 Zdenek Zahradka Zdenek Zahradka has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:48What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Melichar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Melichar
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melichar 1496 vs Zahradka 1395
Melichar
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melichar 80% vs Zahradka 20%
Melichar
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melichar 70% vs Zahradka 20%
Melichar
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melichar -1 · Zahradka -4
Zahradka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Melichar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelichar 1.44 / Zahradka 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Melichar)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13086638
Melichar1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 19 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Zahradka2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 78 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back15% 17 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMelichar5wins
AwayZahradka2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderMelichar leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelichar100%4 of 4
AwayZahradka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melichar4Zahradka3n = 7Melichar took 4 of 7
S2Melichar6Zahradka1n = 7Melichar took 6 of 7
S3Melichar3Zahradka4n = 7Zahradka took 4 of 7
S4Melichar5Zahradka1n = 6Melichar took 5 of 6
S5Melichar1Zahradka2n = 3Zahradka took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricMelicharZahradkaM − ZBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match41.434.0+7.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelicharZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 66 vs 419 / 83757.6%50.1%38 / 66 vs 419 / 837Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelicharMelichar 1.44/Zahradka 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Melichar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Melichar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 4 · 17:25J. Melichar—11119113Z. Zahradka—571191
LAug 30 · 14:01J. Melichar—81191122Z. Zahradka—118115113
LAug 30 · 11:55J. Melichar—97111172Z. Zahradka—111173113
WAug 21 · 16:25J. Melichar—111138113Z. Zahradka—78111172
WAug 5 · 16:25J. Melichar—101111113Z. Zahradka—121531
WNov 8 · 12:55J. Melichar—1111113Z. Zahradka—9690
WJun 25 · 15:20J. Melichar—11119113Z. Zahradka—841151
J. Melichar10
LSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113LSep 6 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.831111113J. Melichar1.837780WSep 6 · 15:25R. Jamrich3.00118751J. Melichar1.3691111113WSep 4 · 18:32J. Melichar1.871111113M. Dvorak1.839740WSep 4 · 17:25Z. Zahradka2.38571191J. Melichar1.5311119113WSep 4 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83612119113M. Dvorak1.83111091142WSep 4 · 14:55R. Jamrich2.75128751J. Melichar1.40101111113LAug 31 · 18:30J. Dvorak2.001111113J. Melichar1.732220LAug 31 · 17:25J. Dvorak2.101111163J. Melichar1.6756140WAug 31 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83111110113J. Hendrych1.83571251
Z. Zahradka10
WSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113LSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.80118612123Z. Zahradka1.914111110102LSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123LSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101WSep 5 · 16:25Z. Zahradka2.25111111113D. Tichy1.57913441LSep 5 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.83115118113Z. Zahradka1.8341171192LSep 4 · 18:00Z. Zahradka1.6111911592R. Jamrich2.20711811113LSep 4 · 17:25Z. Zahradka2.38571191J. Melichar1.5311119113WSep 4 · 15:55R. Jamrich2.1054111172Z. Zahradka1.67111196113
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