Jiri Melichar vs Milan Dvorak 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13076891

Played Sep 4Finished

Jiri Melichar

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

6111210119911114

Milan Dvorak

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jiri Melichar to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

no pick shipped

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingJiri Melichar above · Milan Dvorak below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 9-11

Set 5 · 11-4

Point 94 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Jiri Melichar at 54.0%

94 points played in total.

H2H Jiri Melichar 1–3 Milan Dvorak Jiri Melichar has won 1 of their 4 meetings.

Last 4 · 1–3Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 10:41

What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Dvorak

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

1-3 in 4

Dvorak

Wrong

gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Melichar 1474 vs Dvorak 1484

Dvorak

Wrong

both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Melichar 60% vs Dvorak 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Melichar 40% vs Dvorak 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Melichar +1 · Dvorak +3

Dvorak

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Melichar)

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMelichar 1.83 / Dvorak 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Melichar)+4.0pp

TT Cup · #13076891

Melichar1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Dvorak1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeMelichar1wins

AwayDvorak3wins

Dvorak leads 3–1.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Melichar2Dvorak2n = 4split evenly

S2Melichar1Dvorak3n = 4Dvorak took 3 of 4

S3Melichar1Dvorak3n = 4Dvorak took 3 of 4

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home125%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away125%

0–3Straight, away250%

These 4 meetings

MetricMelicharDvorakM − DBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match27.233.0−5.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMelicharDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime34 / 61 vs 167 / 34355.7%48.7%34 / 61 vs 167 / 343Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Melichar

Melichar 1.83/Dvorak 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Melichar · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Melichar won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record4

WAug 31 · 14:55J. Melichar—1111113M. Dvorak—7880

LJul 31 · 14:55J. Melichar—1168101M. Dvorak—91111123

LJun 30 · 15:55J. Melichar—9770M. Dvorak—1111113

LJan 16 · 16:10J. Melichar—6840M. Dvorak—1111113

J. Melichar10

LSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113 WSep 6 · 17:25J. Melichar1.44117117113Z. Zahradka2.6381151192 LSep 6 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.831111113J. Melichar1.837780 WSep 6 · 15:25R. Jamrich3.00118751J. Melichar1.3691111113 WSep 4 · 18:32J. Melichar1.871111113M. Dvorak1.839740 WSep 4 · 17:25Z. Zahradka2.38571191J. Melichar1.5311119113 WSep 4 · 14:55R. Jamrich2.75128751J. Melichar1.40101111113 LAug 31 · 18:30J. Dvorak2.001111113J. Melichar1.732220 LAug 31 · 17:25J. Dvorak2.101111163J. Melichar1.6756140 WAug 31 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83111110113J. Hendrych1.83571251

M. Dvorak10

LSep 4 · 18:32J. Melichar1.871111113M. Dvorak1.839740 WSep 4 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.0031080M. Dvorak1.731112113 WSep 4 · 15:25M. Dvorak1.9111913113Z. Zahradka1.806111151 WAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752 WAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151 LAug 31 · 15:55M. Dvorak1.73118315112J. Dvorak2.009111113133 LAug 31 · 14:55M. Dvorak1.577880J. Melichar2.251111113 LAug 28 · 18:00J. Kulveit1.83511147113M. Dvorak1.83118121182 WAug 28 · 17:25J. Dvorak2.001111771M. Dvorak1.7371311113 LAug 28 · 16:25M. Dvorak1.806880D. Tichy1.911111113

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