TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13035094
Played Aug 28Finished
Jakub Dvorak
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1171113711711––
Milan Dvorak
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:29 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMilan Dvorak to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Dvorak above · Milan Dvorak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 78 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Milan Dvorak at 54.5%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Dvorak 7–9 Milan Dvorak Jakub Dvorak has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dvorak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Dvorak
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dvorak 1454 vs Dvorak 1462
Dvorak
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dvorak 60% vs Dvorak 20%
Dvorak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dvorak 40% vs Dvorak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dvorak +2 · Dvorak -3
Dvorak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dvorak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvorak 2.00 / Dvorak 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dvorak)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13035094
Dvorak2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 65 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back27% 16 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Dvorak1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite46% won 30 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it53% 17 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvorak5wins
AwayDvorak5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvorak75%3 of 4
AwayDvorak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvorak4Dvorak6n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S2Dvorak4Dvorak6n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S3Dvorak6Dvorak4n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S4Dvorak2Dvorak3n = 5Dvorak took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvorakDvorakDvorak − DvorakBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.631.2−0.6per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvorakDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 338 vs 165 / 33947.9%48.7%162 / 338 vs 165 / 339Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakDvorak 2.00/Dvorak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 17:25J. Dvorak—1111771M. Dvorak—71311113
WJul 31 · 16:25J. Dvorak—11411113M. Dvorak—511361
WMay 14 · 15:20J. Dvorak—41111113M. Dvorak—119471
WMay 11 · 17:25J. Dvorak—8111110113M. Dvorak—11771262
LJan 26 · 19:25J. Dvorak—5460M. Dvorak—1111113
LJan 26 · 17:25J. Dvorak—7860M. Dvorak—1111113
WSep 29 · 14:40J. Dvorak—1111113M. Dvorak—6550
WSep 29 · 14:40J. Dvorak—1111113M. Dvorak—6550
LSep 22 · 16:50J. Dvorak—41350M. Dvorak—1115113
LSep 1 · 15:50J. Dvorak—541111M. Dvorak—11113113
J. Dvorak10
LSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671LSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113WSep 6 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.831111113J. Melichar1.837780WSep 6 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.80118612123Z. Zahradka1.914111110102LSep 5 · 18:35J. Dvorak1.538111011152M. Filipek2.38115129173LSep 5 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.839480D. Tichy1.831111113WSep 5 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.4012118113M. Filipek2.751071171WSep 5 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.83115118113Z. Zahradka1.8341171192WAug 31 · 18:30J. Dvorak2.001111113J. Melichar1.732220WAug 31 · 17:25J. Dvorak2.101111163J. Melichar1.6756140
M. Dvorak10
LSep 4 · 18:32J. Melichar1.871111113M. Dvorak1.839740WSep 4 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.0031080M. Dvorak1.731112113LSep 4 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83612119113M. Dvorak1.83111091142WSep 4 · 15:25M. Dvorak1.9111913113Z. Zahradka1.806111151WAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752WAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151LAug 31 · 15:55M. Dvorak1.73118315112J. Dvorak2.009111113133LAug 31 · 14:55M. Dvorak1.577880J. Melichar2.251111113LAug 28 · 18:00J. Kulveit1.83511147113M. Dvorak1.83118121182LAug 28 · 16:25M. Dvorak1.806880D. Tichy1.911111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.