TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13078684
Played Sep 4Finished
Jiri Melichar
Home
1.87
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117114––––
Milan Dvorak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJiri Melichar above · Milan Dvorak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 53 set 3, 11-4
53 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Melichar 2–3 Milan Dvorak Jiri Melichar has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Melichar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelichar 1.87 / Dvorak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Melichar)+4.5pp
TT Cup · #13078684
Melichar1.87
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog65% won 11 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back50% 4 of 8
Dvorak1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 30 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it52% 17 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMelichar2wins
AwayDvorak3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderDvorak leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelicharn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDvorak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melichar2Dvorak3n = 5Dvorak took 3 of 5
S2Melichar2Dvorak3n = 5Dvorak took 3 of 5
S3Melichar2Dvorak3n = 5Dvorak took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricMelicharDvorakM − DBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match31.635.4−3.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelicharDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 63 vs 166 / 34357.1%48.4%36 / 63 vs 166 / 343Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelicharMelichar 1.87/Dvorak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Melichar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Melichar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 4 · 16:25J. Melichar—612119113M. Dvorak—111091142
WAug 31 · 14:55J. Melichar—1111113M. Dvorak—7880
LJul 31 · 14:55J. Melichar—1168101M. Dvorak—91111123
LJun 30 · 15:55J. Melichar—9770M. Dvorak—1111113
LJan 16 · 16:10J. Melichar—6840M. Dvorak—1111113
J. Melichar10
LSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113WSep 6 · 17:25J. Melichar1.44117117113Z. Zahradka2.6381151192LSep 6 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.831111113J. Melichar1.837780WSep 6 · 15:25R. Jamrich3.00118751J. Melichar1.3691111113WSep 4 · 17:25Z. Zahradka2.38571191J. Melichar1.5311119113WSep 4 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83612119113M. Dvorak1.83111091142WSep 4 · 14:55R. Jamrich2.75128751J. Melichar1.40101111113LAug 31 · 18:30J. Dvorak2.001111113J. Melichar1.732220LAug 31 · 17:25J. Dvorak2.101111163J. Melichar1.6756140WAug 31 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83111110113J. Hendrych1.83571251
M. Dvorak10
WSep 4 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.0031080M. Dvorak1.731112113LSep 4 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83612119113M. Dvorak1.83111091142WSep 4 · 15:25M. Dvorak1.9111913113Z. Zahradka1.806111151WAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752WAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151LAug 31 · 15:55M. Dvorak1.73118315112J. Dvorak2.009111113133LAug 31 · 14:55M. Dvorak1.577880J. Melichar2.251111113LAug 28 · 18:00J. Kulveit1.83511147113M. Dvorak1.83118121182WAug 28 · 17:25J. Dvorak2.001111771M. Dvorak1.7371311113LAug 28 · 16:25M. Dvorak1.806880D. Tichy1.911111113
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