TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13037351
Played Aug 28Finished
Jonas Kulveit
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111181412711118
Milan Dvorak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJonas Kulveit above · Milan Dvorak below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 98 set 5, 11-8
98 points played in total.
H2H Jonas Kulveit 7–2 Milan Dvorak Milan Dvorak has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kulveit)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulveit 1.83 / Dvorak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kulveit)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13037351
Kulveit1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Dvorak1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKulveit7wins
AwayDvorak2wins
6 of 9 to a deciderKulveit leads 7–2, and 6 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulveit75%3 of 4
AwayDvorak20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulveit4Dvorak5n = 9Dvorak took 5 of 9
S2Kulveit4Dvorak5n = 9Dvorak took 5 of 9
S3Kulveit4Dvorak5n = 9Dvorak took 5 of 9
S4Kulveit4Dvorak4n = 8split evenly
S5Kulveit6Dvorak0n = 6Kulveit took 6 of 6
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home667%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricKulveitDvorakK − DBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match40.441.2−0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulveitDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 343 vs 165 / 33846.9%48.8%161 / 343 vs 165 / 338Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulveitKulveit 1.83/Dvorak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kulveit · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kulveit won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 28 · 14:55J. Kulveit—11412113M. Dvorak—7111091
WNov 21 · 19:04J. Kulveit—311113113M. Dvorak—11881182
WNov 21 · 16:50J. Kulveit—711117133M. Dvorak—117511112
WNov 19 · 19:25J. Kulveit—711211103M. Dvorak—11511862
WNov 19 · 18:10J. Kulveit—1161111113M. Dvorak—31113862
LAug 21 · 14:20J. Kulveit—8520M. Dvorak—1111113
LJul 18 · 14:40J. Kulveit—115771M. Dvorak—71111113
WJul 14 · 14:55J. Kulveit—1271111113M. Dvorak—14116672
WJan 2 · 15:40J. Kulveit—111396113M. Dvorak—311111182
J. Kulveit10
WAug 30 · 14:28D. Tichy1.531110711102J. Kulveit2.38712113123WAug 30 · 12:55Z. Zahradka1.919470J. Kulveit1.801111113LAug 30 · 12:25D. Tichy1.611111113J. Kulveit2.204570WAug 30 · 11:25J. Kulveit2.251310116113J. Melichar1.57111231192LAug 28 · 16:55J. Kulveit2.00481191D. Tichy1.7311119113LAug 28 · 15:55J. Kulveit1.50811361J. Dvorak2.50111111113WAug 28 · 14:55J. Kulveit1.9111412113M. Dvorak1.807111091LAug 21 · 18:50J. Kulveit1.802760J. Melichar1.911111113WAug 21 · 16:55J. Kulveit2.2031211113J. Melichar1.611110871WAug 21 · 15:55J. Kulveit2.25712158113D. Tichy1.571110131142
M. Dvorak10
LSep 4 · 18:32J. Melichar1.871111113M. Dvorak1.839740WSep 4 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.0031080M. Dvorak1.731112113LSep 4 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83612119113M. Dvorak1.83111091142WSep 4 · 15:25M. Dvorak1.9111913113Z. Zahradka1.806111151WAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752WAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151LAug 31 · 15:55M. Dvorak1.73118315112J. Dvorak2.009111113133LAug 31 · 14:55M. Dvorak1.577880J. Melichar2.251111113WAug 28 · 17:25J. Dvorak2.001111771M. Dvorak1.7371311113LAug 28 · 14:55J. Kulveit1.9111412113M. Dvorak1.807111091
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