TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12471610
Played Aug 21Finished
Jonas Kulveit
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211711611––––
Jiri Melichar
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJonas Kulveit above · Jiri Melichar below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 48 set 3, 6-11
48 points played in total.
H2H Jonas Kulveit 1–1 Jiri Melichar Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kulveit)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melichar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulveit 1.80 / Melichar 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kulveit)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12471610
Kulveit1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 17 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it74% 14 of 19
Melichar1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog60% won 9 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back50% 4 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKulveit1wins
AwayMelichar1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKulveitMelicharK − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match26.034.5−8.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulveitMelicharBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 360 vs 31 / 5246.1%59.6%166 / 360 vs 31 / 52Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulveitKulveit 1.80/Melichar 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kulveit · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Melichar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 21 · 18:50J. Kulveit—2760J. Melichar—1111113
WAug 21 · 16:55J. Kulveit—31211113J. Melichar—1110871
J. Kulveit10
WAug 30 · 14:28D. Tichy1.531110711102J. Kulveit2.38712113123WAug 30 · 12:55Z. Zahradka1.919470J. Kulveit1.801111113LAug 30 · 12:25D. Tichy1.611111113J. Kulveit2.204570WAug 30 · 11:25J. Kulveit2.251310116113J. Melichar1.57111231192WAug 28 · 18:00J. Kulveit1.83511147113M. Dvorak1.83118121182LAug 28 · 16:55J. Kulveit2.00481191D. Tichy1.7311119113LAug 28 · 15:55J. Kulveit1.50811361J. Dvorak2.50111111113WAug 28 · 14:55J. Kulveit1.9111412113M. Dvorak1.807111091WAug 21 · 16:55J. Kulveit2.2031211113J. Melichar1.611110871WAug 21 · 15:55J. Kulveit2.25712158113D. Tichy1.571110131142
J. Melichar10
LSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113WSep 6 · 17:25J. Melichar1.44117117113Z. Zahradka2.6381151192LSep 6 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.831111113J. Melichar1.837780WSep 6 · 15:25R. Jamrich3.00118751J. Melichar1.3691111113WSep 4 · 18:32J. Melichar1.871111113M. Dvorak1.839740WSep 4 · 17:25Z. Zahradka2.38571191J. Melichar1.5311119113WSep 4 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83612119113M. Dvorak1.83111091142WSep 4 · 14:55R. Jamrich2.75128751J. Melichar1.40101111113LAug 30 · 11:25J. Kulveit2.251310116113J. Melichar1.57111231192LAug 21 · 16:55J. Kulveit2.2031211113J. Melichar1.611110871
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