TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12469747
Played Aug 21Finished
Jonas Kulveit
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
3111210118117––
Jiri Melichar
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:29 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Melichar to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
3111210118117––
H2H Jonas Kulveit 1–1 Jiri Melichar Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:29What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Melichar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kulveit 1521 vs Melichar 1577
Melichar
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulveit 80% vs Melichar 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulveit 70% vs Melichar 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulveit +4 · Melichar +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Melichar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melichar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulveit 2.20 / Melichar 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Melichar)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12469747
Kulveit2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 10 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back26% 5 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Melichar1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 13 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKulveit1wins
AwayMelichar1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKulveitMelicharK − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match26.034.5−8.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulveitMelicharBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 360 vs 31 / 5246.1%59.6%166 / 360 vs 31 / 52Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelicharKulveit 2.20/Melichar 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Melichar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kulveit won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 21 · 18:50J. Kulveit—2760J. Melichar—1111113
WAug 21 · 16:55J. Kulveit—31211113J. Melichar—1110871
J. Kulveit10
WAug 30 · 14:28D. Tichy1.531110711102J. Kulveit2.38712113123WAug 30 · 12:55Z. Zahradka1.919470J. Kulveit1.801111113LAug 30 · 12:25D. Tichy1.611111113J. Kulveit2.204570WAug 30 · 11:25J. Kulveit2.251310116113J. Melichar1.57111231192WAug 28 · 18:00J. Kulveit1.83511147113M. Dvorak1.83118121182LAug 28 · 16:55J. Kulveit2.00481191D. Tichy1.7311119113LAug 28 · 15:55J. Kulveit1.50811361J. Dvorak2.50111111113WAug 28 · 14:55J. Kulveit1.9111412113M. Dvorak1.807111091LAug 21 · 18:50J. Kulveit1.802760J. Melichar1.911111113WAug 21 · 15:55J. Kulveit2.25712158113D. Tichy1.571110131142
J. Melichar10
LSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113WSep 6 · 17:25J. Melichar1.44117117113Z. Zahradka2.6381151192LSep 6 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.831111113J. Melichar1.837780WSep 6 · 15:25R. Jamrich3.00118751J. Melichar1.3691111113WSep 4 · 18:32J. Melichar1.871111113M. Dvorak1.839740WSep 4 · 17:25Z. Zahradka2.38571191J. Melichar1.5311119113WSep 4 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83612119113M. Dvorak1.83111091142WSep 4 · 14:55R. Jamrich2.75128751J. Melichar1.40101111113LAug 30 · 11:25J. Kulveit2.251310116113J. Melichar1.57111231192WAug 21 · 18:50J. Kulveit1.802760J. Melichar1.911111113
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