TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13044896
Played Aug 30Finished
Zdenek Zahradka
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411711––––
Jonas Kulveit
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:45 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeJonas Kulveit to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Zahradka above · Jonas Kulveit below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 53 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jonas Kulveit at 55.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zahradka 5–6 Jonas Kulveit Zdenek Zahradka has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:45What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kulveit
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1409 vs Kulveit 1533
Kulveit
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 80% vs Kulveit 40%
Zahradka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 50% vs Kulveit 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka +1 · Kulveit -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kulveit)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulveit form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 1.91 / Kulveit 1.80
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kulveit)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13044896
Zahradka1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 75 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back16% 17 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Kulveit1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite47% won 18 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it74% 14 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka5wins
AwayKulveit5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka83.3%5 of 6
AwayKulveit100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka6Kulveit4n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S2Zahradka5Kulveit5n = 10split evenly
S3Zahradka4Kulveit6n = 10Kulveit took 6 of 10
S4Zahradka3Kulveit2n = 5Zahradka took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaKulveitZ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.731.2+2.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaKulveitBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 840 vs 156 / 33850.6%46.2%425 / 840 vs 156 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulveitZahradka 1.91/Kulveit 1.80
Hit
What we said
55.9%
Kulveit · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kulveit won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 12 · 12:55Z. Zahradka—881191J. Kulveit—11119113
WJun 28 · 17:25Z. Zahradka—1311113J. Kulveit—11680
WJun 13 · 08:25Z. Zahradka—11115113J. Kulveit—661141
WJun 7 · 10:30Z. Zahradka—11118113J. Kulveit—171141
LJun 7 · 07:55Z. Zahradka—8880J. Kulveit—1111113
WMay 23 · 09:59Z. Zahradka—1111113J. Kulveit—5550
LMay 23 · 07:55Z. Zahradka—11611392J. Kulveit—611711113
WApr 5 · 06:55Z. Zahradka—111110113J. Kulveit—691281
LDec 13 · 17:55Z. Zahradka—7990J. Kulveit—1111113
LNov 21 · 17:20Z. Zahradka—7960J. Kulveit—1111113
Z. Zahradka10
WSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113LSep 6 · 17:25J. Melichar1.44117117113Z. Zahradka2.6381151192LSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.80118612123Z. Zahradka1.914111110102LSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123LSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101WSep 5 · 16:25Z. Zahradka2.25111111113D. Tichy1.57913441LSep 5 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.83115118113Z. Zahradka1.8341171192LSep 4 · 18:00Z. Zahradka1.6111911592R. Jamrich2.20711811113LSep 4 · 17:25Z. Zahradka2.38571191J. Melichar1.5311119113
J. Kulveit10
WAug 30 · 14:28D. Tichy1.531110711102J. Kulveit2.38712113123LAug 30 · 12:25D. Tichy1.611111113J. Kulveit2.204570WAug 30 · 11:25J. Kulveit2.251310116113J. Melichar1.57111231192WAug 28 · 18:00J. Kulveit1.83511147113M. Dvorak1.83118121182LAug 28 · 16:55J. Kulveit2.00481191D. Tichy1.7311119113LAug 28 · 15:55J. Kulveit1.50811361J. Dvorak2.50111111113WAug 28 · 14:55J. Kulveit1.9111412113M. Dvorak1.807111091LAug 21 · 18:50J. Kulveit1.802760J. Melichar1.911111113WAug 21 · 16:55J. Kulveit2.2031211113J. Melichar1.611110871WAug 21 · 15:55J. Kulveit2.25712158113D. Tichy1.571110131142
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