TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13047660
Played Aug 30Finished
Dominik Tichy
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11710127111131012
Jonas Kulveit
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDominik Tichy above · Jonas Kulveit below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 94 set 5, 10-12
94 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Tichy 5–1 Jonas Kulveit Jonas Kulveit has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Tichy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulveit form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTichy 1.53 / Kulveit 2.38
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Tichy)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13047660
Tichy1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 134 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it83% 104 of 126
Kulveit2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 14 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back32% 7 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeTichy5wins
AwayKulveit1wins
2 of 6 to a deciderTichy leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTichy83.3%5 of 6
AwayKulveitn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tichy6Kulveit0n = 6Tichy took 6 of 6
S2Tichy3Kulveit3n = 6split evenly
S3Tichy4Kulveit2n = 6Tichy took 4 of 6
S4Tichy3Kulveit1n = 4Tichy took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricTichyKulveitT − KBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set60+6of 6Avg pointsper match41.832.5+9.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTichyKulveitBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 253 vs 157 / 34065.2%46.2%165 / 253 vs 157 / 340Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.835.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TichyTichy 1.53/Kulveit 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.6%
Tichy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kulveit won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 30 · 12:25D. Tichy—1111113J. Kulveit—4570
WAug 28 · 16:55D. Tichy—11119113J. Kulveit—481191
LAug 21 · 15:55D. Tichy—1110131142J. Kulveit—712158113
WAug 15 · 07:55D. Tichy—1112115113J. Kulveit—71481172
WAug 9 · 10:29D. Tichy—111111113J. Kulveit—613851
WAug 9 · 07:55D. Tichy—1111113J. Kulveit—6360
D. Tichy10
WSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123WSep 5 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.839480D. Tichy1.831111113LSep 5 · 16:25Z. Zahradka2.25111111113D. Tichy1.57913441LSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113LSep 1 · 01:20J. Cerny2.2011136113D. Tichy1.618111161WAug 31 · 17:18M. Beran1.67711511102D. Tichy2.10117116123LAug 31 · 15:50M. Beran1.61111111113D. Tichy2.20551341LAug 31 · 14:50D. Tichy2.0091171162P. Moravec1.73116118113WAug 30 · 13:25J. Melichar1.837411121D. Tichy1.8311118143WAug 30 · 12:25D. Tichy1.611111113J. Kulveit2.204570
J. Kulveit10
WAug 30 · 12:55Z. Zahradka1.919470J. Kulveit1.801111113LAug 30 · 12:25D. Tichy1.611111113J. Kulveit2.204570WAug 30 · 11:25J. Kulveit2.251310116113J. Melichar1.57111231192WAug 28 · 18:00J. Kulveit1.83511147113M. Dvorak1.83118121182LAug 28 · 16:55J. Kulveit2.00481191D. Tichy1.7311119113LAug 28 · 15:55J. Kulveit1.50811361J. Dvorak2.50111111113WAug 28 · 14:55J. Kulveit1.9111412113M. Dvorak1.807111091LAug 21 · 18:50J. Kulveit1.802760J. Melichar1.911111113WAug 21 · 16:55J. Kulveit2.2031211113J. Melichar1.611110871WAug 21 · 15:55J. Kulveit2.25712158113D. Tichy1.571110131142
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