TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13051791
Played Aug 31Finished
Dominik Tichy
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911116711118611
Petr Moravec
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Tichy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDominik Tichy above · Petr Moravec below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 91 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Dominik Tichy at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Tichy 0–1 Petr Moravec Dominik Tichy has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:05What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Moravec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Tichy 1518 vs Moravec 1570
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tichy 60% vs Moravec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tichy 50% vs Moravec 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tichy -1 · Moravec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Moravec) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTichy 2.00 / Moravec 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Moravec)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13051791
Tichy2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog48% won 27 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back29% 7 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Moravec1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 38 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it74% 26 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTichy0wins
AwayMoravec1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMoravec leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTichyMoravecT − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match44.047.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTichyMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 257 vs 101 / 19864.2%51%165 / 257 vs 101 / 198Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecTichy 2.00/Moravec 1.73
Hit
What we said
54.5%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 31 · 14:50D. Tichy—91171162P. Moravec—116118113
D. Tichy10
WSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123WSep 5 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.839480D. Tichy1.831111113LSep 5 · 16:25Z. Zahradka2.25111111113D. Tichy1.57913441LSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113LSep 1 · 01:20J. Cerny2.2011136113D. Tichy1.618111161WAug 31 · 17:18M. Beran1.67711511102D. Tichy2.10117116123LAug 31 · 15:50M. Beran1.61111111113D. Tichy2.20551341LAug 30 · 14:28D. Tichy1.531110711102J. Kulveit2.38712113123WAug 30 · 13:25J. Melichar1.837411121D. Tichy1.8311118143WAug 30 · 12:25D. Tichy1.611111113J. Kulveit2.204570
P. Moravec10
WSep 3 · 18:23J. Hrncir1.9011691372P. Moravec1.806111111113WSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113LSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142WSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192WSep 1 · 01:50P. Moravec2.501112113M. Beran1.5061080LSep 1 · 24:20J. Cerny2.0014119113P. Moravec1.731251151LAug 31 · 17:49J. Cerny2.001111113P. Moravec1.738590LAug 24 · 18:39M. Sulc1.441111108113P. Moravec2.6367121152WAug 24 · 16:55J. Volek2.258470P. Moravec1.571111113LAug 24 · 16:25M. Sulc1.441112113P. Moravec2.6341050
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