TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13051601
Played Sep 1Finished
Petr Moravec
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210118––––
Matej Beran
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:15 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMatej Beran to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Moravec above · Matej Beran below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 58 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Matej Beran at 62.5%
58 points played in total.
H2H Petr Moravec 0–2 Matej Beran Petr Moravec has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:15What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Beran
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1580 vs Beran 1526
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 40% vs Beran 60%
Beran
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 60% vs Beran 30%
Moravec
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec -1 · Beran +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Beran)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 2.50 / Beran 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Beran)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13051601
Moravec2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 24 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back32% 9 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Beran1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 20 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it71% 10 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMoravec0wins
AwayBeran2wins
Beran leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMoravecBeranM − BBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match36.544.5−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecBeranBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 196 vs 70 / 15051%46.7%100 / 196 vs 70 / 150Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BeranMoravec 2.50/Beran 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Beran · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 18 · 15:25P. Moravec—612891M. Beran—111011113
LApr 7 · 16:55P. Moravec—1386111M. Beran—111111133
P. Moravec10
WSep 3 · 18:23J. Hrncir1.9011691372P. Moravec1.806111111113WSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113LSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142WSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192LSep 1 · 24:20J. Cerny2.0014119113P. Moravec1.731251151LAug 31 · 17:49J. Cerny2.001111113P. Moravec1.738590WAug 31 · 14:50D. Tichy2.0091171162P. Moravec1.73116118113LAug 24 · 18:39M. Sulc1.441111108113P. Moravec2.6367121152WAug 24 · 16:55J. Volek2.258470P. Moravec1.571111113LAug 24 · 16:25M. Sulc1.441112113P. Moravec2.6341050
M. Beran10
LSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100LSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113LSep 3 · 15:55M. Beran1.911193111M. Sochor1.8091111133LSep 3 · 14:55M. Beran2.00101181142J. Hrncir1.73129114113LAug 31 · 17:18M. Beran1.67711511102D. Tichy2.10117116123WAug 31 · 15:50M. Beran1.61111111113D. Tichy2.20551341LAug 31 · 14:20J. Cerny2.6371111113M. Beran1.44118521WAug 27 · 21:53M. Beran1.7211115113O. Fiklik2.00881181WAug 27 · 20:55M. Beran1.8391111113O. Fiklik1.83116861LAug 27 · 19:55M. Beran3.251291011112M. Brozek1.331011128133
Upcoming Matches
P. Moravec
Nothing scheduled
M. Beran
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