Jan Hrncir vs Petr Moravec 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13072901

Played Sep 3Finished

Jan Hrncir

Home

1.90

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 4

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1166119111311711

Petr Moravec

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 3

How it is goingJan Hrncir above · Petr Moravec below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 13-11

Set 5 · 7-11

Point 96 set 5, 7-11

96 points played in total.

H2H Jan Hrncir 5–5 Petr Moravec Dead even across their 10 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Moravec)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hrncir form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHrncir 1.90 / Moravec 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Moravec)+2.6pp

TT Cup · #13072901

Hrncir1.90

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog53% won 10 of 19

Down 0–1, comes back50% 3 of 6

Moravec1.80

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite61% won 39 of 64

Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20

Up 1–0, closes it75% 27 of 36

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeHrncir5wins

AwayMoravec5wins

6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeHrncir75%3 of 4

AwayMoravec66.7%4 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Hrncir4Moravec6n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10

S2Hrncir7Moravec3n = 10Hrncir took 7 of 10

S3Hrncir6Moravec4n = 10Hrncir took 6 of 10

S4Hrncir2Moravec6n = 8Moravec took 6 of 8

S5Hrncir3Moravec3n = 6split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricHrncirMoravecH − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.141.9+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricHrncirMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 198 vs 103 / 20154%51.2%107 / 198 vs 103 / 201Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Moravec

Hrncir 1.90/Moravec 1.80

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Moravec · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Moravec won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir—1011118163P. Moravec—126511142

WJun 19 · 18:23J. Hrncir—1111811113P. Moravec—81311672

LJun 19 · 15:25J. Hrncir—511114102P. Moravec—113911123

WMay 22 · 14:50J. Hrncir—311114113P. Moravec—11791162

LApr 30 · 16:55J. Hrncir—95110P. Moravec—1111133

LMar 13 · 19:05J. Hrncir—116129102P. Moravec—5111011123

WMar 13 · 16:25J. Hrncir—1112153P. Moravec—610130

LMar 6 · 17:25J. Hrncir—91111792P. Moravec—114511113

LJan 28 · 20:55J. Hrncir—712691P. Moravec—111011113

WNov 7 · 16:20J. Hrncir—11117113P. Moravec—991191

J. Hrncir10

WSep 3 · 17:25M. Sochor2.2551070J. Hrncir1.571112113 WSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142 WSep 3 · 14:55M. Beran2.00101181142J. Hrncir1.73129114113 WAug 17 · 17:30D. Tichy1.731011571J. Hrncir2.0012811113 WAug 17 · 16:50J. Hrncir1.501191111113Z. Zahradka2.5061113842 LAug 17 · 15:20M. Dvorak2.101211113J. Hrncir1.6710970 LAug 17 · 14:50D. Tichy1.8391211113J. Hrncir1.831110381 WAug 12 · 22:00J. Hendrych2.20961161J. Hrncir1.6111119113 LAug 12 · 21:25J. Hrncir2.10113661O. Varecka1.6791111113 LAug 12 · 19:55D. Sykora1.80411117113J. Hrncir1.9111861182

P. Moravec10

WSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113 LSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142 WSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192 WSep 1 · 01:50P. Moravec2.501112113M. Beran1.5061080 LSep 1 · 24:20J. Cerny2.0014119113P. Moravec1.731251151 LAug 31 · 17:49J. Cerny2.001111113P. Moravec1.738590 WAug 31 · 14:50D. Tichy2.0091171162P. Moravec1.73116118113 LAug 24 · 18:39M. Sulc1.441111108113P. Moravec2.6367121152 WAug 24 · 16:55J. Volek2.258470P. Moravec1.571111113 LAug 24 · 16:25M. Sulc1.441112113P. Moravec2.6341050

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.