TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13070136
Played Sep 3Finished
Petr Moravec
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116115811711119
Miroslav Sochor
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:37 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timePetr Moravec to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Moravec above · Miroslav Sochor below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Petr Moravec at 61.8%
90 points played in total.
H2H Petr Moravec 20–6 Miroslav Sochor Miroslav Sochor has won 6 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:37What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Moravec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-6 in 26
Moravec
Correct
gap of 14 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1570 vs Sochor 1569
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 40% vs Sochor 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 60% vs Sochor 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +1 · Sochor -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Moravec) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.50 / Sochor 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Moravec)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13070136
Moravec1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 39 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it75% 27 of 36
Sochor2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 36 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back34% 18 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec9wins
AwaySochor1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravecn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySochor12.5%1 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec2Sochor8n = 10Sochor took 8 of 10
S2Moravec9Sochor1n = 10Moravec took 9 of 10
S3Moravec8Sochor2n = 10Moravec took 8 of 10
S4Moravec6Sochor3n = 9Moravec took 6 of 9
S5Moravec3Sochor0n = 3Moravec took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecSochorM − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match41.032.3+8.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecSochorBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 198 vs 265 / 50951%52.1%101 / 198 vs 265 / 509Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.50/Sochor 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 15:25P. Moravec—51111123M. Sochor—1167101
WJul 28 · 18:00P. Moravec—911711113M. Sochor—11311382
WJul 28 · 14:50P. Moravec—11811113M. Sochor—511731
WJul 27 · 14:50P. Moravec—311114133M. Sochor—116211112
WJul 22 · 15:25P. Moravec—71111113M. Sochor—116641
WJul 7 · 15:50P. Moravec—1311113M. Sochor—11670
WApr 30 · 18:30P. Moravec—811113113M. Sochor—11441162
WApr 30 · 15:25P. Moravec—81111113M. Sochor—116821
LApr 23 · 18:05P. Moravec—81212101M. Sochor—111014123
WApr 23 · 15:55P. Moravec—41111113M. Sochor—117521
P. Moravec10
WSep 3 · 18:23J. Hrncir1.9011691372P. Moravec1.806111111113WSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113LSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142WSep 1 · 01:50P. Moravec2.501112113M. Beran1.5061080LSep 1 · 24:20J. Cerny2.0014119113P. Moravec1.731251151LAug 31 · 17:49J. Cerny2.001111113P. Moravec1.738590WAug 31 · 14:50D. Tichy2.0091171162P. Moravec1.73116118113LAug 24 · 18:39M. Sulc1.441111108113P. Moravec2.6367121152WAug 24 · 16:55J. Volek2.258470P. Moravec1.571111113LAug 24 · 16:25M. Sulc1.441112113P. Moravec2.6341050
M. Sochor10
WSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100LSep 3 · 17:25M. Sochor2.2551070J. Hrncir1.571112113WSep 3 · 15:55M. Beran1.911193111M. Sochor1.8091111133LAug 28 · 18:25M. Sulc1.85101211113M. Sochor1.851210731LAug 28 · 16:20J. Hendrych1.9110111614113M. Sochor1.80126141692WAug 28 · 15:50A. Langer1.6111891392M. Sochor2.208111111113LAug 28 · 14:50M. Sochor1.80121111552M. Sulc1.80146611113WAug 24 · 18:08J. Volek1.831111107102M. Sochor1.83691211123WAug 24 · 17:25M. Sochor2.00113911113M. Sulc1.7371111252LAug 24 · 15:55J. Volek1.91117911113M. Sochor1.8091111682
Upcoming Matches
P. Moravec
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M. Sochor
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