TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13035033
Played Aug 28Finished
Ales Langer
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1188119111311911
Miroslav Sochor
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:18 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeAles Langer to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAles Langer above · Miroslav Sochor below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 102 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ales Langer at 58.5%
102 points played in total.
H2H Ales Langer 16–10 Miroslav Sochor Miroslav Sochor has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Langer
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-10 in 26
Langer
Wrong
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1625 vs Sochor 1569
Langer
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 60% vs Sochor 40%
Langer
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 60% vs Sochor 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer -2 · Sochor -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Langer)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.61 / Sochor 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Langer)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13035033
Langer1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 68 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it72% 46 of 64
Sochor2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 36 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back33% 18 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLanger6wins
AwaySochor4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLanger leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanger62.5%5 of 8
AwaySochorn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer8Sochor2n = 10Langer took 8 of 10
S2Langer6Sochor4n = 10Langer took 6 of 10
S3Langer6Sochor4n = 10Langer took 6 of 10
S4Langer4Sochor3n = 7Langer took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLangerSochorL − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.835.0+3.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerSochorBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 514 vs 269 / 51749.2%52%253 / 514 vs 269 / 517Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LangerLanger 1.61/Sochor 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Langer · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sochor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 15:55A. Langer—1111133M. Sochor—98110
LAug 9 · 12:55A. Langer—111186132M. Sochor—841111153
LAug 2 · 10:08A. Langer—1110371M. Sochor—91211113
WAug 2 · 09:25A. Langer—111110113M. Sochor—891251
WJul 19 · 14:20A. Langer—11712133M. Sochor—71110111
LMay 3 · 13:48A. Langer—791111122M. Sochor—111135143
LMay 3 · 10:20A. Langer—119821M. Sochor—91111113
WNov 28 · 16:50A. Langer—1112113M. Sochor—31080
WNov 23 · 12:55A. Langer—71111113M. Sochor—116571
WOct 26 · 15:55A. Langer—1111113M. Sochor—5880
A. Langer10
WSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982WSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer2.0011711113O. Fiklik1.73911531LSep 4 · 11:20A. Langer2.258116111D. Hyza1.5711911133LSep 4 · 10:20A. Langer2.5058100M. Brozek1.501111123WSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391WSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 11:20A. Langer2.258240J. Vonasek1.571111113LSep 2 · 10:20A. Langer2.3871181142A. Rek1.53113117113LSep 1 · 14:05O. Fiklik1.68713611113A. Langer2.05111111692LSep 1 · 12:55A. Langer2.2591111872A. Rek1.57117811113
M. Sochor10
WSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100LSep 3 · 17:25M. Sochor2.2551070J. Hrncir1.571112113WSep 3 · 15:55M. Beran1.911193111M. Sochor1.8091111133LSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192LAug 28 · 18:25M. Sulc1.85101211113M. Sochor1.851210731LAug 28 · 16:20J. Hendrych1.9110111614113M. Sochor1.80126141692LAug 28 · 14:50M. Sochor1.80121111552M. Sulc1.80146611113WAug 24 · 18:08J. Volek1.831111107102M. Sochor1.83691211123WAug 24 · 17:25M. Sochor2.00113911113M. Sulc1.7371111252LAug 24 · 15:55J. Volek1.91117911113M. Sochor1.8091111682
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