TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073643
Played Sep 4Finished
Ales Langer
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111196111113––
Daniel Hyza
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Hyza to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Langer above · Daniel Hyza below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 80 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Daniel Hyza at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:57What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hyza
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Langer 1630 vs Hyza 1617
Langer
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 40% vs Hyza 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 30% vs Hyza 50%
Hyza
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer -1 · Hyza +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hyza) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyza form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 2.25 / Hyza 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Hyza)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13073643
Langer2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 67 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back30% 23 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Hyza1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 76 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it84% 56 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerHyzaBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 515 vs 227 / 40448.7%56.2%251 / 515 vs 227 / 404Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyzaLanger 2.25/Hyza 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Hyza · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hyza won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Langer10
WSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982WSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer2.0011711113O. Fiklik1.73911531LSep 4 · 10:20A. Langer2.5058100M. Brozek1.501111123WSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391WSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 11:20A. Langer2.258240J. Vonasek1.571111113LSep 2 · 10:20A. Langer2.3871181142A. Rek1.53113117113LSep 1 · 14:05O. Fiklik1.68713611113A. Langer2.05111111692LSep 1 · 12:55A. Langer2.2591111872A. Rek1.57117811113LSep 1 · 11:55A. Langer1.8011101251V. Jr1.91131210113
D. Hyza10
WSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191WSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110WSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113WSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza1.919111211113M. Brozek1.80111310962WSep 4 · 10:50O. Fiklik2.2511811772D. Hyza1.57911411113WAug 28 · 13:53O. Fiklik2.38154761D. Hyza1.53131111113LAug 28 · 12:55O. Fiklik2.25111299113D. Hyza1.57910111182LAug 28 · 12:25J. Kocab1.8011117113D. Hyza1.91591191
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