TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086476
Played Sep 6Finished
Martin Sulc
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511119811118911
Daniel Hyza
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:57 and never touched — 82.5% is still 82.5%
Graded at full timeDaniel Hyza to win
82.5%
82.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sulc above · Daniel Hyza below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 94 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Daniel Hyza at 82.5%
94 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sulc 1–9 Daniel Hyza Martin Sulc has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:57What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hyza
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-9 in 10
Hyza
Correct
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulc 1470 vs Hyza 1662
Hyza
Correct
both rated, 192 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulc 0% vs Hyza 80%
Hyza
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulc 10% vs Hyza 60%
Hyza
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulc -5 · Hyza -1
Sulc
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hyza) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyza form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulc 2.50 / Hyza 1.50
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Hyza)+6.3pp
TT Cup · #13086476
Sulc2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 74 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 56
Hyza1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 78 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it84% 57 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulc1wins
AwayHyza9wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHyza leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulcn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHyza100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulc2Hyza8n = 10Hyza took 8 of 10
S2Sulc7Hyza3n = 10Sulc took 7 of 10
S3Sulc2Hyza8n = 10Hyza took 8 of 10
S4Sulc3Hyza3n = 6split evenly
S5Sulc0Hyza5n = 5Hyza took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulcHyzaS − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.740.6−4.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulcHyzaBasisWin rate · lifetime333 / 647 vs 231 / 40951.5%56.5%333 / 647 vs 231 / 409Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyzaSulc 2.50/Hyza 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Hyza · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hyza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc—51181192D. Hyza—119118113
LAug 19 · 15:20M. Sulc—11115572D. Hyza—581111113
LFeb 25 · 22:50M. Sulc—15970D. Hyza—1711113
LFeb 25 · 21:20M. Sulc—111111362D. Hyza—135311113
LDec 4 · 17:50M. Sulc—101371182D. Hyza—1211118113
LAug 21 · 21:30M. Sulc—6870D. Hyza—1111113
WAug 21 · 19:20M. Sulc—1111113D. Hyza—8570
LApr 17 · 07:25M. Sulc—61161172D. Hyza—116118113
LApr 7 · 18:35M. Sulc—411491D. Hyza—11711113
LApr 7 · 15:25M. Sulc—91190D. Hyza—1113113
M. Sulc10
LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113LSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102LSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780LSep 2 · 19:50M. Brozek1.4012118113M. Sulc2.751061191LSep 2 · 18:50M. Sulc2.20125571M. Kulisek1.61101111113LAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641LAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr2.101113113M. Sulc1.6781160LAug 31 · 11:50J. Vonasek1.401111113M. Sulc2.758350
D. Hyza10
WSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191WSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110LSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113WSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza1.919111211113M. Brozek1.80111310962WSep 4 · 11:20A. Langer2.258116111D. Hyza1.5711911133WSep 4 · 10:50O. Fiklik2.2511811772D. Hyza1.57911411113WAug 28 · 13:53O. Fiklik2.38154761D. Hyza1.53131111113LAug 28 · 12:55O. Fiklik2.25111299113D. Hyza1.57910111182LAug 28 · 12:25J. Kocab1.8011117113D. Hyza1.91591191
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