TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086721
Played Sep 6Finished
Martin Sulc
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111315711––––
Marek Kulisek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:09 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeMarek Kulisek to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMartin Sulc above · Marek Kulisek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 65 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Marek Kulisek at 56.9%
65 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sulc 22–31 Marek Kulisek Martin Sulc has won 22 of their 53 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kulisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-31 in 53
Kulisek
Correct
gap of 9 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulc 1460 vs Kulisek 1696
Kulisek
Correct
both rated, 236 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulc 0% vs Kulisek 80%
Kulisek
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulc 0% vs Kulisek 70%
Kulisek
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulc -5 · Kulisek +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kulisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulisek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulc 2.00 / Kulisek 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kulisek)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13086721
Sulc2.00
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 74 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 56
Kulisek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 64 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it71% 46 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulc5wins
AwayKulisek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulc66.7%2 of 3
AwayKulisek57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulc3Kulisek7n = 10Kulisek took 7 of 10
S2Sulc4Kulisek6n = 10Kulisek took 6 of 10
S3Sulc5Kulisek5n = 10split evenly
S4Sulc5Kulisek3n = 8Sulc took 5 of 8
S5Sulc3Kulisek2n = 5Sulc took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulcKulisekS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.242.6−2.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulcKulisekBasisWin rate · lifetime333 / 647 vs 387 / 86551.5%44.7%333 / 647 vs 387 / 865Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulisekSulc 2.00/Kulisek 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Kulisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kulisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 21:20M. Sulc—531411102M. Kulisek—1111127123
LSep 2 · 18:50M. Sulc—125571M. Kulisek—101111113
WAug 30 · 19:55M. Sulc—911118113M. Kulisek—11951192
WAug 19 · 17:28M. Sulc—111379113M. Kulisek—811111182
LAug 19 · 16:20M. Sulc—6890M. Kulisek—1111113
WJul 31 · 15:20M. Sulc—11611113M. Kulisek—611371
LJun 28 · 20:20M. Sulc—881312142M. Kulisek—11111110163
WJun 28 · 10:00M. Sulc—71111113M. Kulisek—116961
WJun 28 · 06:50M. Sulc—711912123M. Kulisek—1191110102
LJun 27 · 22:35M. Sulc—10380M. Kulisek—1211113
M. Sulc10
LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102LSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780LSep 2 · 19:50M. Brozek1.4012118113M. Sulc2.751061191LSep 2 · 18:50M. Sulc2.20125571M. Kulisek1.61101111113LAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641LAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr2.101113113M. Sulc1.6781160LAug 31 · 11:50J. Vonasek1.401111113M. Sulc2.758350
M. Kulisek10
LSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191LSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133WSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113WSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672WSep 3 · 22:03M. Kulisek1.9191111133M. Cerny1.801194111WSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102WSep 2 · 18:50M. Sulc2.20125571M. Kulisek1.61101111113
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