TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13062941
Played Sep 2Finished
Martin Sulc
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210511511711––
Marek Kulisek
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:18 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeMarek Kulisek to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sulc above · Marek Kulisek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Marek Kulisek at 61.8%
72 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sulc 20–29 Marek Kulisek Martin Sulc has won 20 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:18What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kulisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-29 in 49
Kulisek
Correct
gap of 9 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulc 1506 vs Kulisek 1653
Kulisek
Correct
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulc 0% vs Kulisek 40%
Kulisek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulc 40% vs Kulisek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulc -5 · Kulisek +1
Sulc
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kulisek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulisek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulc 2.20 / Kulisek 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kulisek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13062941
Sulc2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 74 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back30% 28 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Kulisek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 62 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it70% 45 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulc3wins
AwayKulisek7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKulisek leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulcn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKulisek75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulc2Kulisek8n = 10Kulisek took 8 of 10
S2Sulc2Kulisek8n = 10Kulisek took 8 of 10
S3Sulc5Kulisek5n = 10split evenly
S4Sulc7Kulisek0n = 7Sulc took 7 of 7
S5Sulc1Kulisek4n = 5Kulisek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulcKulisekS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.541.5−4.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulcKulisekBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 647 vs 379 / 85252.2%44.5%338 / 647 vs 379 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulisekSulc 2.20/Kulisek 1.61
Hit
What we said
58.1%
Kulisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kulisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 16:20M. Sulc—6890M. Kulisek—1111113
WJul 31 · 15:20M. Sulc—11611113M. Kulisek—611371
LJun 28 · 20:20M. Sulc—881312142M. Kulisek—11111110163
WJun 28 · 10:00M. Sulc—71111113M. Kulisek—116961
WJun 28 · 06:50M. Sulc—711912123M. Kulisek—1191110102
LJun 27 · 22:35M. Sulc—10380M. Kulisek—1211113
LJun 27 · 20:55M. Sulc—9430M. Kulisek—1111113
LJun 26 · 21:50M. Sulc—11781192M. Kulisek—811114113
LJun 26 · 20:20M. Sulc—111111282M. Kulisek—1113810113
LJun 23 · 20:50M. Sulc—67111162M. Kulisek—111187113
M. Sulc10
LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102LSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780LSep 2 · 19:50M. Brozek1.4012118113M. Sulc2.751061191LAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641LAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr2.101113113M. Sulc1.6781160LAug 31 · 11:50J. Vonasek1.401111113M. Sulc2.758350
M. Kulisek10
LSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191LSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113WSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133WSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113WSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672WSep 3 · 22:03M. Kulisek1.9191111133M. Cerny1.801194111WSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102
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