TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13082078
Played Sep 5Finished
Marek Kulisek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
17191012116116117
Michal Brozek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Brozek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarek Kulisek above · Michal Brozek below
Set 1 · 17-19
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 110 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Michal Brozek at 54.0%
110 points played in total.
H2H Marek Kulisek 76–91 Michal Brozek Marek Kulisek has won 76 of their 167 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:39What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Brozek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
76-91 in 167
Brozek
Wrong
gap of 15 in 167, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulisek 1672 vs Brozek 1698
Brozek
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulisek 60% vs Brozek 80%
Brozek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulisek 50% vs Brozek 70%
Brozek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulisek +1 · Brozek +3
Brozek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brozek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulisek 2.00 / Brozek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Brozek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13082078
Kulisek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 114 of 299
Down 0–1, comes back23% 39 of 171
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 95
Brozek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 157 of 269
Up 2–0, closes it87% 82 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it78% 115 of 147
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulisek7wins
AwayBrozek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKulisek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulisek80%4 of 5
AwayBrozek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulisek5Brozek5n = 10split evenly
S2Kulisek4Brozek6n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S3Kulisek6Brozek4n = 10Kulisek took 6 of 10
S4Kulisek5Brozek5n = 10split evenly
S5Kulisek4Brozek0n = 4Kulisek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulisekBrozekK − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.140.6+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulisekBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime385 / 863 vs 534 / 102544.6%52.1%385 / 863 vs 534 / 1025Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekKulisek 2.00/Brozek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kulisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek—17101111113M. Brozek—19126672
LSep 2 · 20:50M. Kulisek—451131M. Brozek—11118113
WAug 30 · 21:58M. Kulisek—1011711113M. Brozek—12811872
WAug 30 · 18:55M. Kulisek—116128113M. Brozek—211101182
WAug 29 · 19:55M. Kulisek—41113113M. Brozek—1191161
WAug 27 · 22:25M. Kulisek—1151210113M. Brozek—711101292
WAug 27 · 21:25M. Kulisek—11116113M. Brozek—461171
WAug 23 · 21:25M. Kulisek—111110113M. Brozek—571241
LAug 20 · 15:25M. Kulisek—139851M. Brozek—111111113
LAug 19 · 15:50M. Kulisek—991161M. Brozek—11118113
M. Kulisek10
LSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191LSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113WSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133WSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113WSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672WSep 3 · 22:03M. Kulisek1.9191111133M. Cerny1.801194111WSep 3 · 20:55M. Cerny1.61614851M. Kulisek2.20111211113LSep 3 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.17611711113M. Kulisek4.5011911992
M. Brozek10
LSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113WSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113WSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113LSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza1.919111211113M. Brozek1.80111310962WSep 4 · 11:50M. Brozek1.611114113O. Fiklik2.2091260WSep 4 · 10:20A. Langer2.5058100M. Brozek1.501111123WSep 3 · 10:09M. Brozek2.251114611113J. Benak1.5791611972LSep 3 · 08:55J. Kocab1.73111011113M. Brozek2.00512341LSep 3 · 08:25P. Benes1.80101111133M. Brozek1.911289111
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