TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13077545
Played Sep 4Finished
Daniel Hyza
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13115111012117611
Michal Brozek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Brozek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Hyza above · Michal Brozek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 97 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Michal Brozek at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Hyza 35–29 Michal Brozek Michal Brozek has won 29 of their 64 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:31What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-29 in 64
Hyza
Wrong
gap of 6 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyza 1645 vs Brozek 1693
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyza 80% vs Brozek 60%
Hyza
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyza 60% vs Brozek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyza +4 · Brozek -1
Hyza
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brozek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyza form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyza 1.90 / Brozek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Brozek)+2.6pp
TT Cup · #13077545
Hyza1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 19 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Brozek1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite59% won 157 of 268
Up 2–0, closes it88% 83 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it79% 116 of 147
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHyza4wins
AwayBrozek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBrozek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyza40%2 of 5
AwayBrozek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyza5Brozek5n = 10split evenly
S2Hyza4Brozek6n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S3Hyza4Brozek6n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S4Hyza4Brozek4n = 8split evenly
S5Hyza2Brozek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHyzaBrozekH − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.1−1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyzaBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 407 vs 539 / 103056.3%52.3%229 / 407 vs 539 / 1030Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekHyza 1.90/Brozek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza—135101162M. Brozek—1111127113
WSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza—9111211113M. Brozek—111310962
LAug 28 · 11:25D. Hyza—11118462M. Brozek—371111113
WAug 20 · 18:25D. Hyza—11511143M. Brozek—3119121
WAug 20 · 16:25D. Hyza—661111113M. Brozek—11116282
WAug 19 · 18:00D. Hyza—1115113M. Brozek—61370
LAug 19 · 16:50D. Hyza—4117101M. Brozek—11711123
LAug 13 · 15:55D. Hyza—7560M. Brozek—1111113
LAug 9 · 20:20D. Hyza—911491M. Brozek—11411113
LAug 7 · 11:50D. Hyza—118191M. Brozek—41111113
D. Hyza10
WSep 7 · 17:55D. Hyza1.4511511113M. Sulc2.60711881WSep 7 · 16:50M. Sulc2.50891141D. Hyza1.5011117113WSep 7 · 15:50D. Hyza1.281111113M. Sochor3.508590WSep 7 · 14:20A. Rek1.67511591D. Hyza2.1011711113WSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191WSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110WSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113WSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza1.919111211113M. Brozek1.80111310962WSep 4 · 11:20A. Langer2.258116111D. Hyza1.5711911133
M. Brozek10
WSep 7 · 22:14M. Kulisek2.20116881M. Brozek1.6181111113LSep 7 · 20:55M. Brozek1.619990M. Kulisek2.201111113LSep 7 · 19:55M. Brozek1.83511681P. Benes1.8311711113WSep 7 · 18:55M. Brozek2.751111123D. Bochnak1.4096100LSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113LSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113LSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza1.919111211113M. Brozek1.80111310962WSep 4 · 11:50M. Brozek1.611114113O. Fiklik2.2091260
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.