TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091855
Played Sep 7Finished
Martin Sulc
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811911117411––
Daniel Hyza
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:40 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeDaniel Hyza to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sulc above · Daniel Hyza below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 72 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Daniel Hyza at 68.8%
72 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sulc 1–9 Daniel Hyza Martin Sulc has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:40What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hyza
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-9 in 10
Hyza
Correct
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulc 1510 vs Hyza 1708
Hyza
Correct
both rated, 199 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulc 60% vs Hyza 100%
Hyza
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulc 30% vs Hyza 90%
Hyza
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulc +2 · Hyza +5
Hyza
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hyza)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyza form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulc 2.50 / Hyza 1.50
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Hyza)+6.3pp
TT Cup · #13091855
Sulc2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 75 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back28% 28 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 58
Hyza1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 80 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it86% 59 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulc1wins
AwayHyza9wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHyza leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulcn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHyza100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulc2Hyza8n = 10Hyza took 8 of 10
S2Sulc7Hyza3n = 10Sulc took 7 of 10
S3Sulc2Hyza8n = 10Hyza took 8 of 10
S4Sulc3Hyza3n = 6split evenly
S5Sulc0Hyza5n = 5Hyza took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulcHyzaS − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.740.6−4.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulcHyzaBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 649 vs 235 / 41351.5%56.9%334 / 649 vs 235 / 413Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyzaSulc 2.50/Hyza 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Hyza · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hyza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc—51181192D. Hyza—119118113
LAug 19 · 15:20M. Sulc—11115572D. Hyza—581111113
LFeb 25 · 22:50M. Sulc—15970D. Hyza—1711113
LFeb 25 · 21:20M. Sulc—111111362D. Hyza—135311113
LDec 4 · 17:50M. Sulc—101371182D. Hyza—1211118113
LAug 21 · 21:30M. Sulc—6870D. Hyza—1111113
WAug 21 · 19:20M. Sulc—1111113D. Hyza—8570
LApr 17 · 07:25M. Sulc—61161172D. Hyza—116118113
LApr 7 · 18:35M. Sulc—411491D. Hyza—11711113
LApr 7 · 15:25M. Sulc—91190D. Hyza—1113113
M. Sulc10
WSep 7 · 15:20A. Rek1.537314101M. Sulc2.38111112123WSep 7 · 14:50M. Sochor1.836880M. Sulc1.831111113LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102LSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780LSep 2 · 19:50M. Brozek1.4012118113M. Sulc2.751061191LSep 2 · 18:50M. Sulc2.20125571M. Kulisek1.61101111113
D. Hyza10
WSep 7 · 15:50D. Hyza1.281111113M. Sochor3.508590WSep 7 · 14:20A. Rek1.67511591D. Hyza2.1011711113WSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191WSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110WSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113WSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza1.919111211113M. Brozek1.80111310962WSep 4 · 11:20A. Langer2.258116111D. Hyza1.5711911133WSep 4 · 10:50O. Fiklik2.2511811772D. Hyza1.57911411113
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