TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091486
Played Sep 7Finished
Adam Martin Rek
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71131114121012––
Martin Sulc
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:08 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Martin Rek to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAdam Martin Rek above · Martin Sulc below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 80 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Adam Martin Rek at 64.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Adam Martin Rek 34–24 Martin Sulc Martin Sulc has won 24 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Rek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-24 in 58
Rek
Wrong
gap of 10 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rek 1637 vs Sulc 1493
Rek
Wrong
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 20% vs Sulc 40%
Sulc
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 30% vs Sulc 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek -1 · Sulc +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Rek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rek form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.53 / Sulc 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Rek)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13091486
Rek1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 104 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it89% 46 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it69% 73 of 106
Sulc2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 75 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back28% 28 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRek7wins
AwaySulc3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRek60%3 of 5
AwaySulc20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek5Sulc5n = 10split evenly
S2Rek6Sulc4n = 10Rek took 6 of 10
S3Rek9Sulc1n = 10Rek took 9 of 10
S4Rek6Sulc2n = 8Rek took 6 of 8
S5Rek1Sulc3n = 4Sulc took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRekSulcR − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.237.3+4.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekSulcBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 545 vs 333 / 64857.6%51.4%314 / 545 vs 333 / 648Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekRek 1.53/Sulc 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 10:50A. Rek—11311113M. Sulc—811441
WAug 30 · 22:30A. Rek—1511113M. Sulc—13980
WAug 30 · 19:25A. Rek—81111113M. Sulc—118991
LAug 30 · 17:50A. Rek—11971182M. Sulc—711117113
WAug 30 · 15:50A. Rek—141211113M. Sulc—1610891
LAug 17 · 13:25A. Rek—81311832M. Sulc—1111311113
WAug 17 · 07:25A. Rek—891111113M. Sulc—11116832
WAug 8 · 18:10A. Rek—1111113M. Sulc—6970
LAug 8 · 14:55A. Rek—117111072M. Sulc—711912113
WAug 2 · 14:39A. Rek—91111113M. Sulc—118571
A. Rek10
WSep 7 · 16:20A. Rek1.441111143M. Sochor2.6339120LSep 7 · 14:20A. Rek1.67511591D. Hyza2.1011711113WSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113LSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113WSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek2.20111951A. Rek1.6191111113LSep 4 · 09:25A. Rek2.50611631J. Benak1.5011811113LSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek2.38781211113A. Rek1.53111110842LSep 4 · 07:25V. Nadvornik1.8381111113A. Rek1.83118871
M. Sulc10
LSep 7 · 16:50M. Sulc2.50891141D. Hyza1.5011117113WSep 7 · 14:50M. Sochor1.836880M. Sulc1.831111113LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102LSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780LSep 2 · 19:50M. Brozek1.4012118113M. Sulc2.751061191LSep 2 · 18:50M. Sulc2.20125571M. Kulisek1.61101111113
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