TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13082979
Played Sep 5Finished
Adam Martin Rek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811114811611––
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:20 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeAdam Martin Rek to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingAdam Martin Rek above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 70 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Adam Martin Rek at 60.9%
70 points played in total.
H2H Adam Martin Rek 28–18 Ondrej Fiklik Ondrej Fiklik has won 18 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Rek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-18 in 46
Rek
Wrong
gap of 10 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rek 1655 vs Fiklik 1498
Rek
Wrong
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 20% vs Fiklik 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 50% vs Fiklik 30%
Rek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek -2 · Fiklik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Rek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.61 / Fiklik 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Rek)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13082979
Rek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 103 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it69% 72 of 104
Fiklik2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 130 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back21% 38 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRek8wins
AwayFiklik2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRek85.7%6 of 7
AwayFiklik33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek7Fiklik3n = 10Rek took 7 of 10
S2Rek7Fiklik3n = 10Rek took 7 of 10
S3Rek5Fiklik5n = 10split evenly
S4Rek5Fiklik1n = 6Rek took 5 of 6
S5Rek2Fiklik1n = 3Rek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRekFiklikR − FBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.234.9+4.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime313 / 542 vs 556 / 122257.8%45.5%313 / 542 vs 556 / 1222Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekRek 1.61/Fiklik 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fiklik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 16:25A. Rek—611411113O. Fiklik—11611372
LAug 8 · 17:25A. Rek—1111131242O. Fiklik—671514113
WAug 7 · 11:20A. Rek—114511113O. Fiklik—91111372
WJul 31 · 15:50A. Rek—1115113O. Fiklik—81370
LJun 21 · 09:55A. Rek—91070O. Fiklik—1112113
WJun 21 · 06:50A. Rek—121212113O. Fiklik—10101481
WJun 20 · 20:25A. Rek—01111113O. Fiklik—113891
WJun 19 · 18:50A. Rek—1216113O. Fiklik—101480
WJun 15 · 13:25A. Rek—11811113O. Fiklik—611971
WJun 15 · 11:50A. Rek—1111113O. Fiklik—8630
A. Rek10
WSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113LSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113WSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek2.20111951A. Rek1.6191111113LSep 4 · 09:25A. Rek2.50611631J. Benak1.5011811113LSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek2.38781211113A. Rek1.53111110842LSep 4 · 07:25V. Nadvornik1.8381111113A. Rek1.83118871WSep 2 · 13:50A. Rek1.5011911113J. Vonasek2.40711871WSep 2 · 12:50J. Vonasek2.38641161A. Rek1.5311114113WSep 2 · 11:50A. Rek1.501413113V. Jr2.50121180
O. Fiklik10
LSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113LSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672LSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982LSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer2.0011711113O. Fiklik1.73911531LSep 4 · 11:50M. Brozek1.611114113O. Fiklik2.2091260LSep 4 · 10:50O. Fiklik2.2511811772D. Hyza1.57911411113LSep 2 · 21:50M. Brozek1.601111113O. Fiklik2.206640WSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780WSep 2 · 19:20O. Fiklik2.0011118113M. Kulisek1.73421141
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