TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063863
Played Sep 2Finished
Ondrej Fiklik
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114112811114––
Marek Kulisek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:21 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeMarek Kulisek to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Fiklik above · Marek Kulisek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 62 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Marek Kulisek at 56.5%
62 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Fiklik 89–83 Marek Kulisek Marek Kulisek has won 83 of their 172 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:21What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kulisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
89-83 in 172
Fiklik
Correct
gap of 6 in 172, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fiklik 1483 vs Kulisek 1660
Kulisek
Wrong
both rated, 177 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fiklik 40% vs Kulisek 60%
Kulisek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fiklik 40% vs Kulisek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fiklik -1 · Kulisek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kulisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulisek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiklik 2.00 / Kulisek 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Kulisek)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13063863
Fiklik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 130 of 327
Down 0–1, comes back22% 38 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 107
Kulisek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 62 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it70% 45 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFiklik3wins
AwayKulisek7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKulisek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFiklikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKulisek75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fiklik2Kulisek8n = 10Kulisek took 8 of 10
S2Fiklik3Kulisek7n = 10Kulisek took 7 of 10
S3Fiklik3Kulisek7n = 10Kulisek took 7 of 10
S4Fiklik3Kulisek3n = 6split evenly
S5Fiklik2Kulisek1n = 3Fiklik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricFiklikKulisekF − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.738.8−6.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiklikKulisekBasisWin rate · lifetime555 / 1221 vs 379 / 85245.5%44.5%555 / 1221 vs 379 / 852Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulisekFiklik 2.00/Kulisek 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.5%
Kulisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fiklik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 1 · 06:55O. Fiklik—811471M. Kulisek—11711113
LJul 31 · 17:23O. Fiklik—4820M. Kulisek—1111113
LJul 31 · 16:20O. Fiklik—8480M. Kulisek—1111113
WJul 30 · 14:50O. Fiklik—911811113M. Kulisek—11911872
LJul 20 · 18:04O. Fiklik—12631382M. Kulisek—10111111113
LJul 20 · 16:55O. Fiklik—8390M. Kulisek—1111113
WJul 19 · 17:25O. Fiklik—1181112113M. Kulisek—41161452
LJul 13 · 19:55O. Fiklik—1341171M. Kulisek—15118113
WJul 12 · 18:20O. Fiklik—61111113M. Kulisek—116771
LJul 12 · 06:55O. Fiklik—8880M. Kulisek—1111113
O. Fiklik10
LSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113WSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672LSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982LSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer2.0011711113O. Fiklik1.73911531LSep 4 · 11:50M. Brozek1.611114113O. Fiklik2.2091260LSep 4 · 10:50O. Fiklik2.2511811772D. Hyza1.57911411113LSep 2 · 21:50M. Brozek1.601111113O. Fiklik2.206640WSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780
M. Kulisek10
LSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191LSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113WSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133WSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113WSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672WSep 3 · 22:03M. Kulisek1.9191111133M. Cerny1.801194111WSep 3 · 20:55M. Cerny1.61614851M. Kulisek2.20111211113
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