TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086410
Played Sep 6Finished
Jan Vonasek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
41110121113––––
Marek Kulisek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:27 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Kulisek to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Vonasek above · Marek Kulisek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 61 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Marek Kulisek at 68.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vonasek 14–34 Marek Kulisek Jan Vonasek has won 14 of their 48 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:27What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kulisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-34 in 48
Kulisek
Correct
gap of 20 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vonasek 1598 vs Kulisek 1685
Kulisek
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vonasek 20% vs Kulisek 80%
Kulisek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vonasek 40% vs Kulisek 60%
Kulisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vonasek -2 · Kulisek +3
Kulisek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kulisek) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulisek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVonasek 2.10 / Kulisek 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kulisek)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13086410
Vonasek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 69 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back16% 17 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Kulisek1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 64 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it71% 46 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVonasek5wins
AwayKulisek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVonasek66.7%4 of 6
AwayKulisek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vonasek6Kulisek4n = 10Vonasek took 6 of 10
S2Vonasek6Kulisek4n = 10Vonasek took 6 of 10
S3Vonasek6Kulisek4n = 10Vonasek took 6 of 10
S4Vonasek2Kulisek4n = 6Kulisek took 4 of 6
S5Vonasek1Kulisek2n = 3Kulisek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVonasekKulisekV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.937.1+0.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVonasekKulisekBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 728 vs 386 / 86449%44.7%357 / 728 vs 386 / 864Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulisekVonasek 2.10/Kulisek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Kulisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kulisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 19:25J. Vonasek—1211113M. Kulisek—10850
WAug 22 · 16:25J. Vonasek—813913123M. Kulisek—11111111102
WJul 25 · 19:55J. Vonasek—1111113M. Kulisek—6930
LJul 25 · 07:25J. Vonasek—6611101M. Kulisek—11117123
LJul 13 · 19:25J. Vonasek—6950M. Kulisek—1111113
LJul 12 · 19:50J. Vonasek—111411692M. Kulisek—916511113
LJul 12 · 08:55J. Vonasek—111112642M. Kulisek—741411113
WJul 10 · 14:50J. Vonasek—11118113M. Kulisek—981171
LJun 23 · 18:20J. Vonasek—1181141M. Kulisek—13119113
WJun 20 · 19:55J. Vonasek—1112113M. Kulisek—91050
J. Vonasek10
WSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113LSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110LSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek2.20111951A. Rek1.6191111113LSep 4 · 08:55J. Vonasek2.25611114102V. Nadvornik1.57117911123WSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek2.38781211113A. Rek1.53111110842LSep 4 · 06:55J. Vonasek2.75711120J. Benak1.401113143LSep 2 · 13:50A. Rek1.5011911113J. Vonasek2.40711871LSep 2 · 12:50J. Vonasek2.38641161A. Rek1.5311114113WSep 2 · 11:20A. Langer2.258240J. Vonasek1.571111113
M. Kulisek10
LSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191LSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113WSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113WSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672WSep 3 · 22:03M. Kulisek1.9191111133M. Cerny1.801194111WSep 3 · 20:55M. Cerny1.61614851M. Kulisek2.20111211113LSep 3 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.17611711113M. Kulisek4.5011911992
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