TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13071387
Played Sep 3Finished
David Bochnak
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611119711119119
Marek Kulisek
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:39 and never touched — 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeDavid Bochnak to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Bochnak above · Marek Kulisek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 95 set 5, 11-9 — our read held David Bochnak at 85.6%
95 points played in total.
H2H David Bochnak 55–11 Marek Kulisek Marek Kulisek has won 11 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:39What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Bochnak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-11 in 66
Bochnak
Correct
gap of 44 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bochnak 1864 vs Kulisek 1624
Bochnak
Correct
both rated, 240 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bochnak 40% vs Kulisek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bochnak 50% vs Kulisek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bochnak +1 · Kulisek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Bochnak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulisek form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBochnak 1.17 / Kulisek 4.50
Signal prob.86% / 14%
Edge (Bochnak)+6.2pp
TT Cup · #13071387
Bochnak1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 127 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it80% 97 of 122
Kulisek4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 112 of 296
Down 0–1, comes back22% 38 of 170
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBochnak9wins
AwayKulisek1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBochnak leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBochnak83.3%5 of 6
AwayKulisek0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bochnak6Kulisek4n = 10Bochnak took 6 of 10
S2Bochnak9Kulisek1n = 10Bochnak took 9 of 10
S3Bochnak8Kulisek2n = 10Bochnak took 8 of 10
S4Bochnak4Kulisek2n = 6Bochnak took 4 of 6
S5Bochnak2Kulisek1n = 3Bochnak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBochnakKulisekB − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.431.6+7.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBochnakKulisekBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 594 vs 381 / 85861.8%44.4%367 / 594 vs 381 / 858Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BochnakBochnak 1.17/Kulisek 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.6%
Bochnak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bochnak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 20:25D. Bochnak—611711113M. Kulisek—11911992
WAug 29 · 22:25D. Bochnak—101111143M. Kulisek—1236121
WAug 29 · 19:25D. Bochnak—1111113M. Kulisek—4880
WAug 20 · 22:30D. Bochnak—1111113M. Kulisek—8760
LAug 20 · 20:25D. Bochnak—11611592M. Kulisek—411911113
WAug 7 · 16:55D. Bochnak—111110113M. Kulisek—781251
WAug 3 · 18:55D. Bochnak—81111113M. Kulisek—117771
WAug 1 · 10:28D. Bochnak—1311113M. Kulisek—11930
WAug 1 · 08:55D. Bochnak—1111113M. Kulisek—4480
WJul 29 · 15:25D. Bochnak—511114113M. Kulisek—11791162
D. Bochnak10
WSep 6 · 09:54D. Vesecky2.508990D. Bochnak1.501111113LSep 6 · 09:25D. Bochnak1.619640M. Cerny2.201111113WSep 6 · 07:55D. Vesecky2.25411112152D. Bochnak1.57118211173LSep 6 · 07:25J. Benak2.631210113143D. Bochnak1.441012811122WSep 4 · 22:09D. Bochnak1.40991111123J. Zacharda2.75111194102WSep 4 · 20:55D. Bochnak1.361410511113J. Zacharda3.00121211572LSep 4 · 19:55D. Bochnak1.6711991282M. Cerny2.105111110103LSep 4 · 18:55D. Bochnak2.00611611O. Kadavy1.7311811113LSep 3 · 22:33D. Bochnak1.331491161J. Zacharda3.2516114113WSep 3 · 21:25J. Zacharda3.001011981D. Bochnak1.3612811113
M. Kulisek10
LSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191LSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113WSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133WSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113WSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672WSep 3 · 22:03M. Kulisek1.9191111133M. Cerny1.801194111WSep 3 · 20:55M. Cerny1.61614851M. Kulisek2.20111211113
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