TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13074059
Played Sep 3Finished
Marek Kulisek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111191141311––
Martin Cerny
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMarek Kulisek above · Martin Cerny below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 79 set 4, 13-11
79 points played in total.
H2H Marek Kulisek 53–40 Martin Cerny Martin Cerny has won 40 of their 93 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Cerny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cerny form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulisek 1.91 / Cerny 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Cerny)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13074059
Kulisek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 112 of 296
Down 0–1, comes back22% 38 of 170
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 95
Cerny1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 168 of 259
Up 2–0, closes it98% 79 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it85% 115 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulisek8wins
AwayCerny2wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKulisek leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulisek100%5 of 5
AwayCerny40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulisek5Cerny5n = 10split evenly
S2Kulisek6Cerny4n = 10Kulisek took 6 of 10
S3Kulisek3Cerny7n = 10Cerny took 7 of 10
S4Kulisek9Cerny1n = 10Kulisek took 9 of 10
S5Kulisek5Cerny2n = 7Kulisek took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulisekCernyK − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.838.7+4.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulisekCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 859 vs 474 / 82844.5%57.3%382 / 859 vs 474 / 828Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyKulisek 1.91/Cerny 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kulisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 19:25M. Kulisek—811911113M. Cerny—11811792
WAug 9 · 20:50M. Kulisek—911811113M. Cerny—11711232
WJul 9 · 10:55M. Kulisek—11511113M. Cerny—511781
WJul 4 · 21:25M. Kulisek—119711113M. Cerny—71111732
WJun 15 · 16:55M. Kulisek—11115113M. Cerny—681181
LJun 13 · 14:30M. Kulisek—49111142M. Cerny—111172113
LJun 13 · 11:25M. Kulisek—61151122M. Cerny—119119113
WJun 12 · 21:20M. Kulisek—111011113M. Cerny—712291
WJun 12 · 19:50M. Kulisek—111194113M. Cerny—24111142
WJun 6 · 20:55M. Kulisek—412211113M. Cerny—111011892
M. Kulisek10
LSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191LSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113WSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133WSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113WSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672WSep 3 · 20:55M. Cerny1.61614851M. Kulisek2.20111211113LSep 3 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.17611711113M. Kulisek4.5011911992
M. Cerny10
WSep 6 · 10:24J. Benak2.104580M. Cerny1.671111113WSep 6 · 09:25D. Bochnak1.619640M. Cerny2.201111113LSep 6 · 08:25M. Cerny1.61912971J. Benak2.20111011113LSep 6 · 06:55D. Vesecky1.8391111113M. Cerny1.83118381WSep 4 · 22:40O. Kadavy1.43912511112M. Cerny2.651110113133LSep 4 · 21:25M. Cerny4.3313790O. Kadavy1.201511113WSep 4 · 19:55D. Bochnak1.6711991282M. Cerny2.105111110103WSep 4 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.255670M. Cerny1.571111113LSep 3 · 20:55M. Cerny1.61614851M. Kulisek2.20111211113LSep 3 · 19:55M. Cerny1.5011101131J. Zacharda2.5013127113
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