Jan Benak vs Martin Cerny 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13086916

Played Sep 6Finished

Jan Benak

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 3

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

411511811––––

Martin Cerny

Away

1.67

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingJan Benak above · Martin Cerny below

Set 1 · 4-11

Set 2 · 5-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Point 50 set 3, 8-11

50 points played in total.

H2H Jan Benak 7–16 Martin Cerny Jan Benak has won 7 of their 23 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Cerny)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Cerny form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBenak 2.10 / Cerny 1.67

Signal prob.43% / 57%

Edge (Cerny)+1.2pp

TT Cup · #13086916

Benak2.10

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog42% won 14 of 33

Down 0–1, comes back25% 5 of 20

Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12

Cerny1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite64% won 169 of 263

Up 2–0, closes it98% 80 of 82

Up 1–0, closes it84% 116 of 138

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBenak3wins

AwayCerny7wins

4 of 10 to a deciderCerny leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBenak75%3 of 4

AwayCerny100%6 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Benak4Cerny6n = 10Cerny took 6 of 10

S2Benak4Cerny6n = 10Cerny took 6 of 10

S3Benak4Cerny6n = 10Cerny took 6 of 10

S4Benak2Cerny6n = 8Cerny took 6 of 8

S5Benak2Cerny2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricBenakCernyB − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.541.2−2.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBenakCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 169 vs 478 / 83656.8%57.2%96 / 169 vs 478 / 836Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Cerny

Benak 2.10/Cerny 1.67

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

57%

Cerny · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Cerny won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 6 · 08:25J. Benak—111011113M. Cerny—912971

LAug 19 · 08:55J. Benak—1181251M. Cerny—71114113

WAug 7 · 12:25J. Benak—111688113M. Cerny—714111132

LAug 6 · 13:25J. Benak—91111882M. Cerny—119911113

LAug 5 · 12:20J. Benak—891161M. Cerny—11112113

LMay 25 · 18:00J. Benak—713571M. Cerny—111111113

LMay 25 · 15:55J. Benak—9950M. Cerny—1111113

WMay 11 · 09:25J. Benak—135911113M. Cerny—111111292

LMay 4 · 06:55J. Benak—61111892M. Cerny—115811113

LApr 20 · 10:35J. Benak—7960M. Cerny—1111113

J. Benak10

WSep 6 · 08:55D. Vesecky1.7391080J. Benak2.001112113 WSep 6 · 08:25M. Cerny1.61912971J. Benak2.20111011113 WSep 6 · 07:25J. Benak2.631210113143D. Bochnak1.441012811122 LSep 4 · 10:28J. Benak1.7114951182V. Nadvornik2.001211113113 WSep 4 · 09:25A. Rek2.50611631J. Benak1.5011811113 WSep 4 · 08:25J. Benak1.731111117113V. Nadvornik2.0013951152 WSep 4 · 06:55J. Vonasek2.75711120J. Benak1.401113143 LSep 3 · 10:09M. Brozek2.251114611113J. Benak1.5791611972 LSep 3 · 09:25J. Benak1.73131111492P. Benes2.00154711113 WSep 3 · 07:55J. Kocab1.83811911102J. Benak1.83113115123

M. Cerny10

WSep 6 · 09:25D. Bochnak1.619640M. Cerny2.201111113 LSep 6 · 08:25M. Cerny1.61912971J. Benak2.20111011113 LSep 6 · 06:55D. Vesecky1.8391111113M. Cerny1.83118381 WSep 4 · 22:40O. Kadavy1.43912511112M. Cerny2.651110113133 LSep 4 · 21:25M. Cerny4.3313790O. Kadavy1.201511113 WSep 4 · 19:55D. Bochnak1.6711991282M. Cerny2.105111110103 WSep 4 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.255670M. Cerny1.571111113 LSep 3 · 22:03M. Kulisek1.9191111133M. Cerny1.801194111 LSep 3 · 20:55M. Cerny1.61614851M. Kulisek2.20111211113 LSep 3 · 19:55M. Cerny1.5011101131J. Zacharda2.5013127113

Upcoming Matches

J. Benak

Nothing scheduled

M. Cerny

Sep 7 · 10:55M. Cerny1.53J. Zacharda2.38—Sep 7 · 12:25M. Cerny1.80D. Vesecky1.91—Sep 7 · 13:25M. Cerny1.36J. Kocab3.00—

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