TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073963
Played Sep 4Finished
Adam Martin Rek
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611118611311––
Jan Benak
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:03 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeJan Benak to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Martin Rek above · Jan Benak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 67 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Jan Benak at 60.3%
67 points played in total.
H2H Adam Martin Rek 0–2 Jan Benak Adam Martin Rek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:03What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Benak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rek 1693 vs Benak 1729
Benak
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 60% vs Benak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 60% vs Benak 40%
Rek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek -2 · Benak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Benak) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 2.50 / Benak 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Benak)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13073963
Rek2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog59% won 39 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back42% 11 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Benak1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 33 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it77% 10 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRek0wins
AwayBenak2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderBenak leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRekBenakR − BBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.546.5−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekBenakBasisWin rate · lifetime312 / 538 vs 97 / 17258%56.4%312 / 538 vs 97 / 172Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenakRek 2.50/Benak 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Benak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Benak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 5 · 13:18A. Rek—18711292J. Benak—1611711113
LAug 5 · 11:20A. Rek—1171061J. Benak—31112113
A. Rek10
WSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113LSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113WSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek2.20111951A. Rek1.6191111113LSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek2.38781211113A. Rek1.53111110842LSep 4 · 07:25V. Nadvornik1.8381111113A. Rek1.83118871WSep 2 · 13:50A. Rek1.5011911113J. Vonasek2.40711871WSep 2 · 12:50J. Vonasek2.38641161A. Rek1.5311114113WSep 2 · 11:50A. Rek1.501413113V. Jr2.50121180
J. Benak10
LSep 6 · 10:24J. Benak2.104580M. Cerny1.671111113WSep 6 · 08:55D. Vesecky1.7391080J. Benak2.001112113WSep 6 · 08:25M. Cerny1.61912971J. Benak2.20111011113WSep 6 · 07:25J. Benak2.631210113143D. Bochnak1.441012811122LSep 4 · 10:28J. Benak1.7114951182V. Nadvornik2.001211113113WSep 4 · 08:25J. Benak1.731111117113V. Nadvornik2.0013951152WSep 4 · 06:55J. Vonasek2.75711120J. Benak1.401113143LSep 3 · 10:09M. Brozek2.251114611113J. Benak1.5791611972LSep 3 · 09:25J. Benak1.73131111492P. Benes2.00154711113WSep 3 · 07:55J. Kocab1.83811911102J. Benak1.83113115123
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