TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13082385
Played Sep 5Finished
Adam Martin Rek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911711811––
Marek Kulisek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Kulisek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Martin Rek above · Marek Kulisek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Marek Kulisek at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Adam Martin Rek 10–12 Marek Kulisek Adam Martin Rek has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:00What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kulisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-12 in 22
Kulisek
Correct
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rek 1655 vs Kulisek 1659
Kulisek
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 20% vs Kulisek 40%
Kulisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 50% vs Kulisek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek -1 · Kulisek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kulisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulisek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.83 / Kulisek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kulisek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13082385
Rek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kulisek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRek4wins
AwayKulisek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKulisek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRek40%2 of 5
AwayKulisek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek5Kulisek5n = 10split evenly
S2Rek6Kulisek4n = 10Rek took 6 of 10
S3Rek3Kulisek7n = 10Kulisek took 7 of 10
S4Rek5Kulisek3n = 8Rek took 5 of 8
S5Rek1Kulisek3n = 4Kulisek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRekKulisekR − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.740.8−1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekKulisekBasisWin rate · lifetime313 / 542 vs 384 / 86257.8%44.6%313 / 542 vs 384 / 862Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulisekRek 1.83/Kulisek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kulisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kulisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 15:55A. Rek—11411113M. Kulisek—811781
LAug 16 · 20:55A. Rek—51161192M. Kulisek—119118113
LAug 15 · 21:59A. Rek—811891M. Kulisek—11911113
LAug 15 · 20:55A. Rek—129100M. Kulisek—1411123
WJul 31 · 14:20A. Rek—71111113M. Kulisek—119861
LJun 20 · 19:25A. Rek—117411132M. Kulisek—711117153
WJun 19 · 19:50A. Rek—1212113M. Kulisek—101060
WMay 15 · 14:20A. Rek—8111015113M. Kulisek—114121392
LApr 25 · 14:00A. Rek—11117652M. Kulisek—781111113
LApr 25 · 11:25A. Rek—119691M. Kulisek—41111113
A. Rek10
WSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113LSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113WSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek2.20111951A. Rek1.6191111113LSep 4 · 09:25A. Rek2.50611631J. Benak1.5011811113LSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek2.38781211113A. Rek1.53111110842LSep 4 · 07:25V. Nadvornik1.8381111113A. Rek1.83118871WSep 2 · 13:50A. Rek1.5011911113J. Vonasek2.40711871WSep 2 · 12:50J. Vonasek2.38641161A. Rek1.5311114113WSep 2 · 11:50A. Rek1.501413113V. Jr2.50121180
M. Kulisek10
LSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191LSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113WSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133WSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113WSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672LSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672WSep 3 · 22:03M. Kulisek1.9191111133M. Cerny1.801194111WSep 3 · 20:55M. Cerny1.61614851M. Kulisek2.20111211113LSep 3 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.17611711113M. Kulisek4.5011911992
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