TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084830
Played Sep 5Finished
Michal Brozek
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12141210811811––
Marek Kulisek
Away
1.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Kulisek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Brozek above · Marek Kulisek below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 86 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Marek Kulisek at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Michal Brozek 91–76 Marek Kulisek Marek Kulisek has won 76 of their 167 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:11What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Brozek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
91-76 in 167
Brozek
Wrong
gap of 15 in 167, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1698 vs Kulisek 1672
Brozek
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 60% vs Kulisek 80%
Kulisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 60% vs Kulisek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek -1 · Kulisek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulisek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.75 / Kulisek 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Brozek)+1.3pp
TT Cup · #13084830
Brozek1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 157 of 269
Up 2–0, closes it87% 82 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it78% 115 of 147
Kulisek1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 114 of 299
Down 0–1, comes back23% 39 of 171
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrozek3wins
AwayKulisek7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKulisek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozek40%2 of 5
AwayKulisek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek5Kulisek5n = 10split evenly
S2Brozek6Kulisek4n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S3Brozek4Kulisek6n = 10Kulisek took 6 of 10
S4Brozek5Kulisek5n = 10split evenly
S5Brozek0Kulisek4n = 4Kulisek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrozekKulisekB − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.642.1−1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekKulisekBasisWin rate · lifetime534 / 1025 vs 385 / 86352.1%44.6%534 / 1025 vs 385 / 863Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.75/Kulisek 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kulisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 21:25M. Brozek—19126672M. Kulisek—17101111113
WSep 2 · 20:50M. Brozek—11118113M. Kulisek—451131
LAug 30 · 21:58M. Brozek—12811872M. Kulisek—1011711113
LAug 30 · 18:55M. Brozek—211101182M. Kulisek—116128113
LAug 29 · 19:55M. Brozek—1191161M. Kulisek—41113113
LAug 27 · 22:25M. Brozek—711101292M. Kulisek—1151210113
LAug 27 · 21:25M. Brozek—461171M. Kulisek—11116113
LAug 23 · 21:25M. Brozek—571241M. Kulisek—111110113
WAug 20 · 15:25M. Brozek—111111113M. Kulisek—139851
WAug 19 · 15:50M. Brozek—11118113M. Kulisek—991161
M. Brozek10
LSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113WSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113LSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza1.919111211113M. Brozek1.80111310962WSep 4 · 11:50M. Brozek1.611114113O. Fiklik2.2091260WSep 4 · 10:20A. Langer2.5058100M. Brozek1.501111123WSep 3 · 10:09M. Brozek2.251114611113J. Benak1.5791611972LSep 3 · 08:55J. Kocab1.73111011113M. Brozek2.00512341LSep 3 · 08:25P. Benes1.80101111133M. Brozek1.911289111
M. Kulisek10
LSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191LSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113WSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133WSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672WSep 3 · 22:03M. Kulisek1.9191111133M. Cerny1.801194111WSep 3 · 20:55M. Cerny1.61614851M. Kulisek2.20111211113LSep 3 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.17611711113M. Kulisek4.5011911992
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