TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073858
Played Sep 4Finished
Daniel Hyza
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91111131210119116
Michal Brozek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Brozek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDaniel Hyza above · Michal Brozek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 103 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Michal Brozek at 54.0%
103 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Hyza 34–28 Michal Brozek Michal Brozek has won 28 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Brozek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-28 in 62
Hyza
Correct
gap of 6 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyza 1642 vs Brozek 1695
Brozek
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyza 60% vs Brozek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyza 60% vs Brozek 80%
Brozek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyza +3 · Brozek +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brozek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyza 1.91 / Brozek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Brozek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13073858
Hyza1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 19 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Brozek1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite59% won 157 of 268
Up 2–0, closes it88% 83 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it79% 116 of 147
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHyza4wins
AwayBrozek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBrozek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyza60%3 of 5
AwayBrozek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyza5Brozek5n = 10split evenly
S2Hyza4Brozek6n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S3Hyza4Brozek6n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S4Hyza3Brozek4n = 7Brozek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHyzaBrozekH − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.535.2−0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyzaBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 405 vs 538 / 102856.3%52.3%228 / 405 vs 538 / 1028Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekHyza 1.91/Brozek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hyza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 11:25D. Hyza—11118462M. Brozek—371111113
WAug 20 · 18:25D. Hyza—11511143M. Brozek—3119121
WAug 20 · 16:25D. Hyza—661111113M. Brozek—11116282
WAug 19 · 18:00D. Hyza—1115113M. Brozek—61370
LAug 19 · 16:50D. Hyza—4117101M. Brozek—11711123
LAug 13 · 15:55D. Hyza—7560M. Brozek—1111113
LAug 9 · 20:20D. Hyza—911491M. Brozek—11411113
LAug 7 · 11:50D. Hyza—118191M. Brozek—41111113
LJul 30 · 14:20D. Hyza—105120M. Brozek—1211143
WJul 23 · 10:00D. Hyza—111011113M. Brozek—312551
D. Hyza10
WSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191WSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110WSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113WSep 4 · 11:20A. Langer2.258116111D. Hyza1.5711911133WSep 4 · 10:50O. Fiklik2.2511811772D. Hyza1.57911411113WAug 28 · 13:53O. Fiklik2.38154761D. Hyza1.53131111113LAug 28 · 12:55O. Fiklik2.25111299113D. Hyza1.57910111182LAug 28 · 12:25J. Kocab1.8011117113D. Hyza1.91591191
M. Brozek10
LSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113LSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113WSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113WSep 4 · 11:50M. Brozek1.611114113O. Fiklik2.2091260WSep 4 · 10:20A. Langer2.5058100M. Brozek1.501111123WSep 3 · 10:09M. Brozek2.251114611113J. Benak1.5791611972LSep 3 · 08:55J. Kocab1.73111011113M. Brozek2.00512341LSep 3 · 08:25P. Benes1.80101111133M. Brozek1.911289111
Upcoming Matches
D. Hyza
M. Brozek1 of 1 neutral
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