TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13032728
Played Aug 28Finished
Jan Kocab
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115119711119––
Daniel Hyza
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Kocab to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Kocab above · Daniel Hyza below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jan Kocab at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kocab 6–6 Daniel Hyza Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:10What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kocab
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocab 1573 vs Hyza 1639
Hyza
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocab 40% vs Hyza 60%
Hyza
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocab 20% vs Hyza 60%
Hyza
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocab +2 · Hyza -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kocab)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocab form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocab 1.80 / Hyza 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kocab)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13032728
Kocab1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 45 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it84% 37 of 44
Hyza1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 20 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKocab5wins
AwayHyza5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocab100%4 of 4
AwayHyza83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocab4Hyza6n = 10Hyza took 6 of 10
S2Kocab4Hyza6n = 10Hyza took 6 of 10
S3Kocab7Hyza3n = 10Kocab took 7 of 10
S4Kocab4Hyza4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKocabHyzaK − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.635.7−1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocabHyzaBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 255 vs 234 / 41249.4%56.8%126 / 255 vs 234 / 412Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocabKocab 1.80/Hyza 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kocab · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kocab won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 10 · 12:25J. Kocab—11119113D. Hyza—811151
WJun 19 · 11:55J. Kocab—1111113D. Hyza—8480
LJun 17 · 09:25J. Kocab—301151D. Hyza—11115113
LJun 10 · 10:35J. Kocab—691131D. Hyza—11119113
LJun 10 · 09:25J. Kocab—71131192D. Hyza—114117113
WJun 7 · 14:55J. Kocab—111112113D. Hyza—1331071
WJun 2 · 10:05J. Kocab—11614113D. Hyza—4111251
LJun 2 · 07:55J. Kocab—7550D. Hyza—1111113
LJan 7 · 19:40J. Kocab—361261D. Hyza—111110113
WJan 7 · 18:25J. Kocab—119118123D. Hyza—611911102
J. Kocab10
LSep 3 · 10:40P. Benes1.5711611133J. Kocab2.259117111WSep 3 · 08:55J. Kocab1.73111011113M. Brozek2.00512341LSep 3 · 07:55J. Kocab1.83811911102J. Benak1.83113115123LSep 3 · 06:55J. Kocab2.10591171P. Benes1.6711116113LSep 1 · 10:30P. Benes1.731112113J. Kocab2.0051030WSep 1 · 09:25J. Kocab1.7311711113D. Vesecky2.00211761LSep 1 · 07:55P. Benes1.831112113J. Kocab1.8361080WSep 1 · 07:25M. Brozek2.3812117462J. Kocab1.531091111113LAug 31 · 14:15P. Benes1.7311117113J. Kocab2.00881171LAug 31 · 13:25J. Kocab3.401111111092M. Cerny1.30513812113
D. Hyza10
WSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191WSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110WSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113WSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza1.919111211113M. Brozek1.80111310962WSep 4 · 11:20A. Langer2.258116111D. Hyza1.5711911133WSep 4 · 10:50O. Fiklik2.2511811772D. Hyza1.57911411113WAug 28 · 13:53O. Fiklik2.38154761D. Hyza1.53131111113LAug 28 · 12:55O. Fiklik2.25111299113D. Hyza1.57910111182
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