TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086642
Played Sep 6Finished
Daniel Hyza
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181161311––––
Jan Vonasek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDaniel Hyza to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Hyza above · Jan Vonasek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 60 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Daniel Hyza at 58.9%
60 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Hyza 10–7 Jan Vonasek Jan Vonasek has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:48What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hyza
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Hyza
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyza 1662 vs Vonasek 1560
Hyza
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyza 80% vs Vonasek 20%
Hyza
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyza 60% vs Vonasek 40%
Hyza
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyza +1 · Vonasek -3
Vonasek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hyza) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vonasek form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyza 1.61 / Vonasek 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Hyza)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13086642
Hyza1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 78 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it84% 57 of 68
Vonasek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 69 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back16% 17 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHyza5wins
AwayVonasek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyza83.3%5 of 6
AwayVonasek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyza6Vonasek4n = 10Hyza took 6 of 10
S2Hyza5Vonasek5n = 10split evenly
S3Hyza8Vonasek2n = 10Hyza took 8 of 10
S4Hyza2Vonasek5n = 7Vonasek took 5 of 7
S5Hyza1Vonasek3n = 4Vonasek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHyzaVonasekH − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.838.2+2.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyzaVonasekBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 409 vs 357 / 73156.5%48.8%231 / 409 vs 357 / 731Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyzaHyza 1.61/Vonasek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Hyza · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hyza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza—1111133J. Vonasek—86110
WJun 22 · 16:55D. Hyza—1111149113J. Vonasek—713121172
WJun 17 · 07:55D. Hyza—11911113J. Vonasek—811491
WJun 10 · 07:25D. Hyza—1111133J. Vonasek—47110
LJun 2 · 08:55D. Hyza—891191J. Vonasek—11113113
LMay 3 · 22:30D. Hyza—81212452J. Vonasek—11101011113
WMay 3 · 19:55D. Hyza—11116113J. Vonasek—581131
LApr 28 · 10:30D. Hyza—119117132J. Vonasek—911811153
LApr 28 · 09:25D. Hyza—79100J. Vonasek—1111123
LApr 16 · 22:05D. Hyza—711116112J. Vonasek—115911133
D. Hyza10
WSep 7 · 17:55D. Hyza1.4511511113M. Sulc2.60711881WSep 7 · 16:50M. Sulc2.50891141D. Hyza1.5011117113WSep 7 · 15:50D. Hyza1.281111113M. Sochor3.508590WSep 7 · 14:20A. Rek1.67511591D. Hyza2.1011711113WSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191WSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113WSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza1.919111211113M. Brozek1.80111310962WSep 4 · 11:20A. Langer2.258116111D. Hyza1.5711911133
J. Vonasek10
WSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113LSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133LSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek2.20111951A. Rek1.6191111113LSep 4 · 08:55J. Vonasek2.25611114102V. Nadvornik1.57117911123WSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek2.38781211113A. Rek1.53111110842LSep 4 · 06:55J. Vonasek2.75711120J. Benak1.401113143LSep 2 · 13:50A. Rek1.5011911113J. Vonasek2.40711871LSep 2 · 12:50J. Vonasek2.38641161A. Rek1.5311114113WSep 2 · 11:20A. Langer2.258240J. Vonasek1.571111113
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