TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13094106
Played Sep 7Finished
Daniel Hyza
Home
1.45
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117511118118––
Martin Sulc
Away
2.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:23 and never touched — 73.8% is still 73.8%
Graded at full timeDaniel Hyza to win
73.8%
73.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Hyza above · Martin Sulc below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Daniel Hyza at 73.8%
72 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Hyza 10–1 Martin Sulc Martin Sulc has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Hyza beat Sulc 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:23What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (64%)
Hyza
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-1 in 11
Hyza
Correct
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyza 1714 vs Sulc 1504
Hyza
Correct
both rated, 210 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyza 100% vs Sulc 60%
Hyza
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyza 90% vs Sulc 30%
Hyza
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyza +5 · Sulc -1
Hyza
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Hyza) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulc form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyza 1.45 / Sulc 2.60
Signal prob.71% / 30%
Edge (Hyza)+6.3pp
TT Cup · #13094106
Hyza1.45
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite60% won 80 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it86% 59 of 69
Sulc2.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 75 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back28% 28 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHyza9wins
AwaySulc1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHyza leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyza100%8 of 8
AwaySulcn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyza8Sulc2n = 10Hyza took 8 of 10
S2Hyza3Sulc7n = 10Sulc took 7 of 10
S3Hyza7Sulc3n = 10Hyza took 7 of 10
S4Hyza4Sulc3n = 7Hyza took 4 of 7
S5Hyza5Sulc0n = 5Hyza took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHyzaSulcH − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.136.0+5.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyzaSulcBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 414 vs 334 / 65057%51.4%236 / 414 vs 334 / 650Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyzaHyza 1.45/Sulc 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.5%
Hyza · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hyza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 16:50D. Hyza—11117113M. Sulc—891141
WSep 6 · 18:20D. Hyza—119118113M. Sulc—51181192
WAug 19 · 15:20D. Hyza—581111113M. Sulc—11115572
WFeb 25 · 22:50D. Hyza—1711113M. Sulc—15970
WFeb 25 · 21:20D. Hyza—135311113M. Sulc—111111362
WDec 4 · 17:50D. Hyza—1211118113M. Sulc—101371182
WAug 21 · 21:30D. Hyza—1111113M. Sulc—6870
LAug 21 · 19:20D. Hyza—8570M. Sulc—1111113
WApr 17 · 07:25D. Hyza—116118113M. Sulc—61161172
WApr 7 · 18:35D. Hyza—11711113M. Sulc—411491
D. Hyza10
WSep 7 · 16:50M. Sulc2.50891141D. Hyza1.5011117113WSep 7 · 15:50D. Hyza1.281111113M. Sochor3.508590WSep 7 · 14:20A. Rek1.67511591D. Hyza2.1011711113WSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191WSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110WSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113WSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza1.919111211113M. Brozek1.80111310962WSep 4 · 11:20A. Langer2.258116111D. Hyza1.5711911133
M. Sulc10
LSep 7 · 16:50M. Sulc2.50891141D. Hyza1.5011117113WSep 7 · 15:20A. Rek1.537314101M. Sulc2.38111112123WSep 7 · 14:50M. Sochor1.836880M. Sulc1.831111113LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102LSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780LSep 2 · 19:50M. Brozek1.4012118113M. Sulc2.751061191
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