TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091046
Played Sep 7Finished
Adam Martin Rek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511117511911––
Daniel Hyza
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:37 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeDaniel Hyza to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Martin Rek above · Daniel Hyza below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Daniel Hyza at 55.3%
70 points played in total.
H2H Adam Martin Rek 7–6 Daniel Hyza Daniel Hyza has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rek 1648 vs Hyza 1689
Hyza
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 40% vs Hyza 80%
Hyza
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 40% vs Hyza 80%
Hyza
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek +1 · Hyza +4
Hyza
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rek) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyza form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.67 / Hyza 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hyza)+1.8pp
TT Cup · #13091046
Rek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 104 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it89% 46 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it69% 73 of 106
Hyza2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 19 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRek5wins
AwayHyza5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRek57.1%4 of 7
AwayHyza66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek7Hyza3n = 10Rek took 7 of 10
S2Rek5Hyza5n = 10split evenly
S3Rek5Hyza5n = 10split evenly
S4Rek2Hyza4n = 6Hyza took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRekHyzaR − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.438.0−0.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekHyzaBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 544 vs 233 / 41157.7%56.7%314 / 544 vs 233 / 411Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekRek 1.67/Hyza 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hyza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 14:30A. Rek—117146113D. Hyza—811121152
LAug 21 · 13:25A. Rek—133391D. Hyza—111111113
LAug 20 · 14:55A. Rek—1197101D. Hyza—71111123
WAug 16 · 21:59A. Rek—1117113D. Hyza—61540
WAug 16 · 19:55A. Rek—1111183D. Hyza—94160
WAug 7 · 10:50A. Rek—1111113D. Hyza—7680
LMay 6 · 07:55A. Rek—9770D. Hyza—1111113
LDec 4 · 19:10A. Rek—5116101D. Hyza—11811123
WDec 4 · 15:20A. Rek—61411123D. Hyza—11128101
LNov 20 · 17:50A. Rek—151171162D. Hyza—1313119113
A. Rek10
LSep 7 · 15:20A. Rek1.537314101M. Sulc2.38111112123WSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113LSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113WSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek2.20111951A. Rek1.6191111113LSep 4 · 09:25A. Rek2.50611631J. Benak1.5011811113LSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek2.38781211113A. Rek1.53111110842LSep 4 · 07:25V. Nadvornik1.8381111113A. Rek1.83118871WSep 2 · 13:50A. Rek1.5011911113J. Vonasek2.40711871
D. Hyza10
WSep 7 · 15:50D. Hyza1.281111113M. Sochor3.508590WSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191WSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110WSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113WSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza1.919111211113M. Brozek1.80111310962WSep 4 · 11:20A. Langer2.258116111D. Hyza1.5711911133WSep 4 · 10:50O. Fiklik2.2511811772D. Hyza1.57911411113WAug 28 · 13:53O. Fiklik2.38154761D. Hyza1.53131111113
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