TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076774
Played Sep 4Finished
Jan Vonasek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119111911511––
Adam Martin Rek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJan Vonasek above · Adam Martin Rek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 68 set 4, 5-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vonasek 26–41 Adam Martin Rek Jan Vonasek has won 26 of their 67 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vonasek form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVonasek 2.20 / Rek 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Rek)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13076774
Vonasek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 69 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back15% 16 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 58
Rek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 102 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it70% 72 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVonasek1wins
AwayRek9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRek leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVonasekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayRek100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vonasek1Rek9n = 10Rek took 9 of 10
S2Vonasek5Rek5n = 10split evenly
S3Vonasek3Rek7n = 10Rek took 7 of 10
S4Vonasek1Rek5n = 6Rek took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVonasekRekV − RBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match31.239.7−8.5per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVonasekRekBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 727 vs 312 / 53949.1%57.9%357 / 727 vs 312 / 539Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekVonasek 2.20/Rek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 13:50J. Vonasek—711871A. Rek—11911113
LSep 2 · 12:50J. Vonasek—641161A. Rek—11114113
WAug 31 · 13:55J. Vonasek—11118113A. Rek—981191
LAug 31 · 12:50J. Vonasek—51111562A. Rek—118511113
LAug 17 · 14:10J. Vonasek—611571A. Rek—11911113
LAug 17 · 11:55J. Vonasek—89100A. Rek—1111123
LJun 20 · 22:25J. Vonasek—61180A. Rek—1113113
LJun 20 · 20:55J. Vonasek—54120A. Rek—1111143
LJun 14 · 20:20J. Vonasek—68100A. Rek—1111123
LJun 3 · 09:25J. Vonasek—1011111322A. Rek—127915113
J. Vonasek10
WSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113LSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110LSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133LSep 4 · 08:55J. Vonasek2.25611114102V. Nadvornik1.57117911123WSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek2.38781211113A. Rek1.53111110842LSep 4 · 06:55J. Vonasek2.75711120J. Benak1.401113143LSep 2 · 13:50A. Rek1.5011911113J. Vonasek2.40711871LSep 2 · 12:50J. Vonasek2.38641161A. Rek1.5311114113WSep 2 · 11:20A. Langer2.258240J. Vonasek1.571111113
A. Rek10
WSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113LSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113LSep 4 · 09:25A. Rek2.50611631J. Benak1.5011811113LSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek2.38781211113A. Rek1.53111110842LSep 4 · 07:25V. Nadvornik1.8381111113A. Rek1.83118871WSep 2 · 13:50A. Rek1.5011911113J. Vonasek2.40711871WSep 2 · 12:50J. Vonasek2.38641161A. Rek1.5311114113WSep 2 · 11:50A. Rek1.501413113V. Jr2.50121180
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