TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063774
Played Sep 2Finished
Adam Martin Rek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
14121311118––––
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:28 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Martin Rek to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Martin Rek above · Vaclav Hejda Jr below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 69 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Adam Martin Rek at 63.3%
69 points played in total.
H2H Adam Martin Rek 34–26 Vaclav Hejda Jr Vaclav Hejda Jr has won 26 of their 60 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Rek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-26 in 60
Rek
Correct
gap of 8 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rek 1705 vs Jr 1591
Rek
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 60% vs Jr 80%
Jr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 70% vs Jr 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek +1 · Jr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Rek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.50 / Jr 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Rek)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13063774
Rek1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 98 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it90% 43 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it69% 68 of 99
Jr2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 89 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back28% 23 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRek5wins
AwayJr5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRek100%4 of 4
AwayJr83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Rek6Jr4n = 10Rek took 6 of 10
S3Rek9Jr1n = 10Rek took 9 of 10
S4Rek1Jr5n = 6Jr took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRekJrR − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.735.8−0.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekJrBasisWin rate · lifetime312 / 538 vs 384 / 78958%48.7%312 / 538 vs 384 / 789Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekRek 1.50/Jr 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 11:50A. Rek—1413113V. Jr—121180
LSep 1 · 14:35A. Rek—7611161V. Jr—11115183
LSep 1 · 11:25A. Rek—861161V. Jr—11118113
WAug 31 · 11:20A. Rek—1113113V. Jr—91180
WAug 21 · 10:55A. Rek—1311113V. Jr—11770
LAug 17 · 11:25A. Rek—3101141V. Jr—11127113
WAug 17 · 10:25A. Rek—91211123V. Jr—11106101
WAug 17 · 08:25A. Rek—1111123V. Jr—58100
LJul 31 · 11:20A. Rek—751161V. Jr—11116113
LJul 20 · 12:50A. Rek—8121491V. Jr—111016113
A. Rek10
WSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113LSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113WSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek2.20111951A. Rek1.6191111113LSep 4 · 09:25A. Rek2.50611631J. Benak1.5011811113LSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek2.38781211113A. Rek1.53111110842LSep 4 · 07:25V. Nadvornik1.8381111113A. Rek1.83118871WSep 2 · 13:50A. Rek1.5011911113J. Vonasek2.40711871WSep 2 · 12:50J. Vonasek2.38641161A. Rek1.5311114113
V. Jr10
LSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391LSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 10:50V. Jr2.00712571J. Vonasek1.73111011113WSep 1 · 14:35V. Jr2.5011115183A. Rek1.487611161WSep 1 · 13:25V. Jr2.38511714113O. Fiklik1.53117111292WSep 1 · 11:55A. Langer1.8011101251V. Jr1.91131210113WSep 1 · 11:25A. Rek1.50861161V. Jr2.5011118113WAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641WAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr2.101113113M. Sulc1.6781160LAug 31 · 11:20V. Jr2.3891180A. Rek1.531113113
Upcoming Matches
A. Rek
Nothing scheduled
V. Jr
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