TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13056020
Played Sep 1Finished
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111177111412119
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:14 and never touched — 59.9% is still 59.9%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
59.9%
59.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingVaclav Hejda Jr above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 98 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 59.9%
98 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hejda Jr 5–30 Ondrej Fiklik Vaclav Hejda Jr has won 5 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:14What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Fiklik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-30 in 35
Fiklik
Wrong
gap of 25 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1590 vs Fiklik 1499
Jr
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 80% vs Fiklik 40%
Jr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 60% vs Fiklik 40%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +4 · Fiklik -1
Jr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Fiklik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.38 / Fiklik 1.53
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Fiklik)-0.9pp
TT Cup · #13056020
Jr2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 86 of 188
Down 0–1, comes back27% 22 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Fiklik1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 98 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it77% 66 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayFiklik8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFiklik leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr25%2 of 8
AwayFiklikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr8Fiklik2n = 10Jr took 8 of 10
S2Jr1Fiklik9n = 10Fiklik took 9 of 10
S3Jr4Fiklik6n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S4Jr2Fiklik5n = 7Fiklik took 5 of 7
S5Jr0Fiklik3n = 3Fiklik took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrFiklikJ − FBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.939.8−1.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 785 vs 554 / 121848.7%45.5%382 / 785 vs 554 / 1218Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 2.38/Fiklik 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.9%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 15 · 12:50V. Jr—116881O. Fiklik—91111113
LMay 22 · 07:25V. Jr—111251522O. Fiklik—9141113113
LMay 12 · 09:55V. Jr—1167101O. Fiklik—71111123
WMay 12 · 07:25V. Jr—11911113O. Fiklik—811351
LMay 8 · 13:25V. Jr—12970O. Fiklik—1411113
LApr 28 · 09:59V. Jr—117111152O. Fiklik—311613113
WApr 28 · 08:55V. Jr—1111113O. Fiklik—5860
LApr 22 · 10:30V. Jr—11147101O. Fiklik—51611123
LApr 22 · 06:55V. Jr—111380O. Fiklik—1315113
LApr 17 · 07:55V. Jr—111011582O. Fiklik—612811113
V. Jr10
LSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391LSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 11:50A. Rek1.501413113V. Jr2.50121180LSep 2 · 10:50V. Jr2.00712571J. Vonasek1.73111011113WSep 1 · 14:35V. Jr2.5011115183A. Rek1.487611161WSep 1 · 11:55A. Langer1.8011101251V. Jr1.91131210113WSep 1 · 11:25A. Rek1.50861161V. Jr2.5011118113WAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641WAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr2.101113113M. Sulc1.6781160LAug 31 · 11:20V. Jr2.3891180A. Rek1.531113113
O. Fiklik10
LSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113WSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672LSep 4 · 13:29A. Langer2.006111011113O. Fiklik1.7311912982LSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer2.0011711113O. Fiklik1.73911531LSep 4 · 11:50M. Brozek1.611114113O. Fiklik2.2091260LSep 4 · 10:50O. Fiklik2.2511811772D. Hyza1.57911411113LSep 2 · 21:50M. Brozek1.601111113O. Fiklik2.206640WSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780
Upcoming Matches
V. Jr
O. Fiklik
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